Reporter Chen Yong reports In the seven FA Cups since the 2018 season, Shandong Taishan team has reached the finals. In the past 6 finals, the Taishan team has won 3 championships (3 consecutive championships in 2020, 2021 and 2022), and the success rate of winning the championship is 50%, what will be the result this year?
On November 6, in the 7th round of the AFC Champions League Elite League, Shandong Taishan played away against Pohang Steelers, and in the 41st minute, Gao Zhunyi was replaced by Liu Yang due to injury, and then the national team's training camp, Gao Zhunyi was also unable to participate. Judging from the current recovery situation, it is extremely difficult for Gao Zhunyi to participate in the FA Cup final on the 23rd.
Gao Zhun wing is good in attack and defense, of course, the first choice for the right-back position, however, even if he is absent, the Taishan team still has a lot of players to choose from in the right-back position, such as Tong Lei, who started in the first game against Pohang, Wu Xinghan, who sat on the bench in that game, has also performed well in the right-back position this season, and the good news is that Wang Tong has recently resumed training, and if everything goes well, he can come back in time, and the personnel in the right-back position will be more sufficient.
The real question for the Tarzan team is whether Cressan will be able to play, or how much time will he be able to play?
In the AFC Champions League Classic on the 6th, Cressan sat on the bench, but did not play in the end. Many fans believe that if Cressan can play, the midfield can put more pressure on Pohang Steelers, and Taishan may not lose that game.
Cressan, who had previously had a strain, has been receiving treatment and the ideal scenario would be for Cressan to start, and if not, the coaching staff would like him to come off the bench, but it will depend on the situation.
The Taishan team has Wang Dalei, Xie Wenneng, Li Yuanyi and Huang Zhengyu with the national team in the round of 18 in November. Huang Zhengyu did not play in the last national football game, against Japan, Wang Dalei will continue to start, Xie Wen's probability of starting is more than 9 percent, the interval between the national football game on the 19th and the FA Cup final on the 23rd is only 3 days, and the recovery of the international players is a problem. Li Yuanyi went to the national football team with an injury to report, and played in the away game with Bahrain with an injury, if he still needs to grit his teeth and fight hard against Japan, then it will definitely have a greater impact on the FA Cup game.
Zeka started playing at the end of September and has played seven games in a row so far, gradually finding his groove in the game, with one goal and three assists in the last four games, showing very good competitive form, which is the biggest good news for the Tarzan team in the last month and a half.
With five goals and three assists in his last 12 games, Kazaishvili has been a good statistic, but he has scored a brace in four of those games and failed to score or assist in the other eight.
In other positions, the Taishan team has relatively sufficient players, especially more local players in the midfield, which can meet the different needs of technical and tactical adjustments.
The matchup between Taishan and Harbour, in terms of strength on paper, the Harbour team is superior, and the recent head-to-head record between the two sides also illustrates this, the last time the Taishan team beat Shanghai Port was in the first half of the 2022 season, and then the two sides met 5 times in the league, and the Taishan team drew 2 and lost 3.
In the league two games this season, Taishan team lost 3-4 away and 0-1 at home, and in the FA Cup final, Taishan will make every effort to avoid being "three kills" by the harbor in the season. In those two games, the shots ratio was 26 to 16 and 17 to 5, with Harbour having the clear advantage. The abundant deployment of foreign reinforcements in the front field of Harbour and the control of the tempo in the midfield by Oscar, who has super individual ability, are the key to Harbour's ability to suppress Taishan.
Taishan team in the FA Cup finals most likely to focus on defense most of the time, of course, the defense is not a bus, Taishan team will seize the opportunity to counterattack, may also be in part of the time for high pressing, suppress the opponent, this is actually the Taishan team in the AFC Champions League elite league used to use tactics, the overall on the defensive, but part of the time will also be pressed out. For the Tarzan team, how effective it is to contain Oscar will largely determine the direction of the game. Wu Lei missed the two games of the national football team, and it is unlikely that he will play in the FA Cup, and in the two matchups in the league this season, Shanghai Port scored 5 goals against Taishan, of which 3 goals came from Wu Lei.
Lost to Harbour twice in the league this season, the Taishan team was not in the best condition, in addition to the untidy personnel, more importantly, the Taishan team was plagued by off-field factors at that time, and the team's morale was low. However, since mid-August, the Taishan team has gradually come out of the trough, the overall morale and mentality of the team have been restored, and the relationship between the club and the players and fans has also been fully restored.