Issue 25133 of the football victory lottery: Manchester City stumbled, Bayern asserted dominance, Liverpool is secure, Barcelona is carefree.

1 OlympiacosVSPafos

The home team in the Greek Super League has secured three straight wins since the season began, keeping a clean sheet, demonstrating great condition and balanced attack and defense.

The visiting team is from the Cypriot league, which hasn't started yet, but based on their Champions League matches, they are in good shape, having recently beaten Dynamo Kyiv and Red Star Belgrade, showing their overall strategy is very effective.

The data strongly favors the home side due to the difference in team strength, but the away team’s earlier adaptation to the Champions League pace might be slightly overestimated.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: draw.

2 Slavia PragueVSBodø/Glimt

The home team from the Czech First League is considerably stronger than the visitors and has maintained a very dominant performance since the league started.

The away team shows weaknesses when facing stronger opponents in European competitions, especially struggling with away disadvantages.

Data supports the home team, and considering the strength and form, the home side has a better chance of success.

Home win.

3 AjaxVSInter Milan

The home team has performed well in the league, despite two away draws, their defense has been solid.

The away team appears unsettled since the departure of their key player Lingard, losing two of three league matches, with defensive issues becoming more apparent.

Data favors the away team, but given their recent league form, this support might be somewhat excessive.

Primary pick: away win, secondary: home win.

4 Bayern MunichVSChelsea

The home team has remained undefeated with all wins since the league began, though their defense is not completely solid, somewhat shaky, but their strong offense covers these flaws.

The visitors have also not lost since their league started, but two draws highlight their attack is less effective than expected on paper.

Data heavily supports the home team, but this might underestimate the visiting side.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: draw.

5 LiverpoolVSAtlético Madrid

The home team has a strong attack; in the last league match against Burnley, although they won, they struggled against a defensive setup.

The away team’s defense has looked fragile this season, with one draw and one loss in four away league games, showing weakness on the road. Atlético’s style rarely involves parking the bus, which could give the home team more attacking space.

Data strongly favors the home side, matching their better form and strength, plus recent head-to-head psychological advantage, increasing their chances of victory.

Home win.

6 DortmundVSAtalanta

The home team remains the dominant force in Ligue 1, maintaining strong attacking power and decent defense after several rounds.

The visitors have not lost in their league matches but have drawn twice against weaker teams, indicating a lack of offensive firepower despite an unbeaten record.

Data supports the home team strongly, though the away side traditionally performs well in European competitions, as seen in previous seasons.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: draw.

7 Club BruggeVSMonaco

The home team adapted earlier to the European competition rhythm, with Salzburg and Rangers falling victim, showing impressive overall performance.

The visitors’ overall strength has declined; despite three wins and one loss in four league matches, they concede goals every game, revealing defensive vulnerabilities.

Data shows no clear preference, which is not favorable for the away team.

Primary pick: away win, secondary: home win.

8 CopenhagenVSLeverkusen

The home team has played several European matches with decent performances, but their opponents were relatively weak, facing little real pressure.

The visitors have suffered significant losses this season and look less robust overall, with a league record of one win, one draw, and one loss; however, they recently defeated an in-form Frankfurt at home, suggesting a form improvement.

Data leans towards the away team, but not strongly; previous seasons’ high expectations set by the “Dragon” may cause some caution here.

Primary pick: draw, secondary: away win.

9 FrankfurtVSGalatasaray

The home team lost their last away match to Leverkusen but have two wins and one loss overall, with a strong attacking display.

The visiting team is a traditional powerhouse in the Turkish Super League, with strong offense and defense, and their strength has improved this season, especially in midfield and attack.

Data slightly favors the home team, though the visitors’ midfield and attack strength should not be overlooked.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: draw.

10 Manchester CityVSNapoli

The home team’s strength has diminished; although they defeated Manchester United last round, the performance was not as smooth as expected, and the defense remains unstable.

The visitors have been solid in both attack and defense in the league. A key highlight will be how midfielder De Bruyne performs against his former club.

Data strongly supports the home side, but with Manchester City’s current form, a guaranteed win is uncertain.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: away win.

11 Newcastle UnitedVSBarcelona

The home team has some issues in both attack and defense this year, while the visitors remain in good form.

Data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the visitors, which might temper their confidence.

Away win.

12 LisbonVSAlmaty

There is a significant gap between the two teams.

Home win.

13 FeyenoordVSFortuna

This is also considered a Champions League domestic clash.

The teams differ greatly in strength; the home team’s league performance is clearly superior, and their defense is better than the visitors’ as well.

Data strongly supports the home side. Although the home team has drawn several matches in recent years, the financial stakes in the Champions League likely prevent them from giving up easily.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: draw.

14 River PlateVSPalmeiras

Entering the knockout stage, the home team’s offense seems somewhat hindered, with multiple draws and even scoreless games. The visitors’ attack remains strong, and their defense is very solid.

Data supports the home team, though the strength is moderate; realistically, the visitors have a more potent offense currently.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: away win.