Issue 25137 Soccer Victory Lottery, Nottingham shines in European competition, Roma retreats safely, Villa may face upset

1 BragaVSFeyenoord

The home team has not performed well in the league and is in poor form, while the visitors are famously dominant in cup tournaments.

From an overall strength perspective, the home team is inferior to the visitors. Data supports the home side, but given both teams’ recent league form, it’s obvious the home team is the weaker party.

First home win, then away win

2 Red StarVSCeltic

The home team is weaker than the visitors; they were eliminated from the Champions League by Pafos, while the visitors were knocked out by Arouca. Data shows no clear bias, but in terms of strength, the visitors hold the advantage.

First draw, then away win

3 FreiburgVSBasel

The home team is considerably stronger overall. Their league form is improving, having recently won 3-1 away against a strong Bremen side. The visitors were knocked out of the Champions League by Copenhagen, and their away performance in the league has been limited.

Data supports the home team with considerable strength.

Home win

4 MalmoVSLudogorets

Both teams are closely matched, with the home side slightly weaker. The home team displayed strong fighting spirit by eliminating their opponent 5-0 over two legs in the last Europa League round. The visitors’ European campaign shows their offensive and defensive abilities are not very outstanding, and their away strength is very limited.

Data favors the home team with significant support, though this level of support seems to exceed the actual strength comparison between the sides.

First home win, then draw

5 NiceVSRoma

The home team’s overall strength is below that of the visitors. They were eliminated by Benfica in the Champions League with a 0-4 aggregate, showing a clear gap with Champions League teams. Their league form is unstable, with a clear pattern of strong home and weak away performances.

The visitors have performed decently in the league, with solid defense but a somewhat precarious attack.

Data slightly favors the visitors, but the support is weak. Given the visitors’ style, they will likely adopt a cautious approach away from home.

First draw, then away win

6 BetisVSNottingham

The home team has performed better than the visitors in the league, especially defensively, and their home strength surpasses the visitors’ away capabilities.

Data gives slight support to the home team, though not strongly. Considering the overall strength, the home side is not superior, so this can be seen as indirect support.

First home win, then away win

7 HJKVSBucharest

The home team’s league form is improving, while the visitors are unstable, tending to draw often but conceding in every game, showing defensive weaknesses.

Data supports the home team slightly, but the strength of support is limited, and both teams show defensive vulnerabilities.

First home win, then draw

8 LilleVSBrann

There is a large strength gap between the two teams. The home team’s league form is excellent, especially strong at home. The visitors also perform well in the league and European away matches, showing stable away strength, possibly due to weaker opponents.

Data strongly supports the home team, hoping they can secure the tie in the first leg.

Home win

9 VillaVSBologna

The home team’s league form is quite poor, possibly due to multiple key injuries. In the last round, even with one player less, they were held to a draw by a newly promoted team, highlighting defensive instability and attacking weakness since the season began.

The visitors show a strong home and weak away pattern in the league, often winning by a single goal, which, while economical, indicates limited attacking power.

Data supports the home team moderately, but given both teams’ current league form, this seems somewhat excessive.

First away win, then home win

10 SalzburgVSPorto

There is a strength gap between the teams. The home team’s recent league form has declined, while the visitors are very strong in both attack and defense in the league.

Data favors the visitors, but the support is minimal, seemingly intended to suppress the visitors’ confidence.

Don’t doubt it, back the visitors.

11 StuttgartVSCelta

The home team’s league form is not great, but their home performance is decent. Their attack and defense have declined compared to last year, lacking last season’s quality.

The visitors are unusual, with five 1-1 draws in six league matches, showing weak attack and defense but also resilience.

Data supports the home team. Given both teams’ current states, it will be difficult for either side to win.

First draw, then home win

12 UtrechtVSRennes

There is a clear strength gap. The home team’s league form has significantly declined recently, while the visitors remain stable overall, losing only once away to Rennes, maintaining decent attack and defense.

Data favors the visitors slightly, though not strongly. Strength and form lean towards the visitors.

Away win

13 AtleticoVSVallecano

The home team’s start to the season has been mediocre, with one win, three draws, and one loss in five games. Too many draws suggest issues in attack and defense, with a goal difference of 6/5. At home, they have one win and one draw.

The visitors have one win, two draws, and two losses in five games, with both losses away, indicating away matches may be their weakness. Their goal difference is 5/6.

Data gives strong support to the home team; they should at least maintain some pride.

Home win

14 Oviedo VS Barcelona

Away win