Supercomputer predicts Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: Crushing defeat expected

Real Madrid enters Metropolitano with overwhelming momentum, whereas Atletico needs to improve their backline if they want to avoid being exploited by Kylian Mbappe and company.

BeSoccer has just released its forecast for the Madrid derby in round 7 La Liga with the odds favoring Real Madrid. Calculations show Los Blancos have a 48.2% chance of winning, Atletico only 28.7%, and a draw is predicted at 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10.6%), followed by 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8%). Expected goals also highlight the gap, with Real Madrid predicted to score an average of 1.78 goals, higher than Atletico’s 1.33 goals.

This difference accurately reflects the current form of both teams. Real Madrid started the season perfectly with six straight wins in La Liga plus one victory in the Champions League. Under coach Xabi Alonso’s guidance, Los Blancos have shown a solid defense combined with explosive attack, especially with Kylian Mbappe thriving with 7 goals in 6 rounds. Moreover, Real has welcomed back key defenders Militao and Carvajal, boosting their confidence ahead of the trip to Metropolitano.

Meanwhile, Atletico is struggling to find consistency. After 6 rounds, they have only collected 9 points, sitting 8th and 9 points behind Real. In the Champions League, Simeone’s squad also suffered defeat to Liverpool, dampening their morale.

Atletico’s defense, once their pride, has become a vulnerability, conceding 7 goals in La Liga and 3 more against Liverpool. Simeone must rely on Julian Alvarez’s form, who recently scored a brace to help Atletico come from behind to beat Rayo Vallecano 3-2, temporarily easing the pressure.

In terms of squad, Atletico continues to miss Gimenez, Johnny Cardoso, and Thiago Almada due to injuries. Sorloth’s return from suspension will add variety to their attack, but the chance of surprising Real’s defense remains uncertain. On the other side, Alonso might consider rotating as Jude Bellingham is not yet at peak fitness, but with the versatility of Arda Guler and the strength of Tchouameni and Valverde, Real still has enough options to dominate midfield.

This match promises to be intense in midfield, where Koke and Barrios will have to endure heavy pressure from Real. On the left flank, the duel between Vinicius and Llorente will surely be a highlight, while Alvarez poses the biggest threat to Real’s defense.

Overall, Real Madrid enters the game with great confidence and comprehensive strength, but Atletico has enough hunger to break the streak and cause an upset at home. It will be an unpredictable derby where even the smallest mistake could determine the outcome.

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