Preview and betting odds analysis for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid at 21:15 on September 27, Round 7 of La Liga

26/09/2025 12:35:00 soccer

Preview and betting oddsAtletico Madrid vs Real Madrid at 21:15 on September 27, 2025. Predictions, expected lineups, and expert opinions on the Round 7 La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Match preview Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

90-minute odds: 1/4 : 0

Total goals: 2.75

Real Madrid approaches the Madrid derby with unprecedented confidence since Xabi Alonso took over as coach. Their impressive 4-1 win against Levante midweek not only extended their unbeaten streak across all competitions but also secured their position atop the La Liga table.

Additionally, Vinicius’s return to form highlights the flawless operation of the 43-year-old coach’s winning machine. The Brazilian forward performed excellently with a goal and an assist, alongside Mbappe’s brace. Therefore, Real Madrid is well-prepared to face Atletico Madrid and secure victory, while their neighbors struggle to find necessary consistency at this moment.

Squad news Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Regarding the squads, coach Diego Simeone will be without Jose Gimenez, Alex Baena, and Thiago Almada due to injuries, but Julian Alvarez has rejoined the lineup and is expected to pose a threat to the Galacticos.

Coach Xabi surprised by rotating the entire defense in the victory over Levante, resting key players like Carvajal and Militao to ensure peak fitness for the Madrid derby. Meanwhile, center-back Dean Huijsen has returned from suspension, further strengthening Real’s lineup.

Expected lineups Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

- Atletico Madrid: Oblak; Llorente, Le Normand, Lenglet, Hancko; Simeone, Koke, Barrios, Gallagher; Raspadori, Alvarez

- Real Madrid: Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Huijsen, Carreras; Valverde, Tchouameni, Guler; Mastantuono, Mbappe, Vinicius

Form and head-to-head Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Four of the last five encounters between the teams ended in draws, with Real Madrid winning once. In terms of form, the Galacticos have won all six matches so far, while the red-and-white striped team has been inconsistent.

Atletico Madrid form

Date	Competition	Match	Result
21.09.2025	La Liga	Mallorca – Atl. Madrid	1-1 (D)
18.09.2025	Champions League	Liverpool – Atl. Madrid	3-2 (L)
14.09.2025	La Liga	Atl. Madrid – Villarreal	2-0 (W)
30.08.2025	La Liga	Alaves – Atl. Madrid	1-1 (D)
24.08.2025	La Liga	Atl. Madrid – Elche	1-1 (D)

Real Madrid form

Date	Competition	Match	Result
24.09.2025	La Liga	Levante – Real Madrid	1-4 (W)
20.09.2025	La Liga	Real Madrid – Espanyol	2-0 (W)
17.09.2025	Champions League	Real Madrid – Marseille	2-1 (W)
13.09.2025	La Liga	Real Sociedad – Real Madrid	1-2 (W)
31.08.2025	La Liga	Real Madrid – Mallorca	2-1 (W)

Head-to-head Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Date	Competition	Match	Result
13.03.2025	Champions League	Atl. Madrid – Real Madrid	1-1
05.03.2025	Champions League	Real Madrid – Atl. Madrid	2-1
09.02.2025	La Liga	Real Madrid – Atl. Madrid	1-1
30.09.2024	La Liga	Atl. Madrid – Real Madrid	1-1
05.02.2024	La Liga	Real Madrid – Atl. Madrid	1-1

Expert analysis Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

This certainly won't be an easy match for Real Madrid, even though their opponent is not in top form currently. However, Real still holds advantages in several areas such as individual class, a more stable playing system than Atletico Madrid, and maximum efficiency in their games. Nevertheless, the home team will be determined not to lose and will compete with full commitment.

Regarding total goals, 4 of the last 5 meetings ended with two or fewer goals, and one match had three goals. This shows these matches are always tight, intense, and low-scoring.