Prediction and odds analysis for Toulouse vs Nantes at 00:00 on September 27, Round 6 of Ligue 1

Toulouse recently lost 0-1 to Auxerre in Ligue 1 on September 21, 2025. Earlier, they lost 1-2 to Lille (September 13, 2025), lost 3-6 to Paris Saint-Germain (August 31, 2025), won 2-0 against Brest (August 24, 2025), and won 1-0 against Nice (August 17, 2025). Their last 5 matches indicate inconsistent form (2 wins, 3 losses), scoring 7 goals and conceding 9. Under coach Carles Martinez, Toulouse will depend on Zakaria Aboukhlal and Thijs Dallinga to improve their home performance.

Nantes drew 2-2 with Rennes in Ligue 1 on September 21, 2025. Before that, they lost 0-1 to Nice (September 14, 2025), won 1-0 against Auxerre (August 31, 2025), lost 0-1 to Strasbourg (August 24, 2025), and lost 0-1 to Paris Saint-Germain (August 17, 2025). Their recent 5 matches show poor form (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), scoring 3 goals and conceding 5. Led by coach Luis Castro, Nantes will rely on Junior Mwanga and Youssef El-Arabi to score their first away goal.

The two teams have met 5 times recently, with 3 draws, Toulouse winning once, and Nantes winning once, averaging 0.8 goals per game. Toulouse has home advantage with 6 draws in their last 10 home games, while Nantes remains unbeaten in their last 4 away matches against Toulouse. A tightly contested match ending in a draw is a reasonable expectation.

Squad status Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse: Niklas Schmidt (ACL injury), Rafik Messali (ankle injury), Alexis Vossah (suspended), Ilyas Azizi (injured); Zakaria Aboukhlal (fit to play).

Nantes: Francis Coquelin (hamstring injury), Mathieu Acapandie (injured), Bahereba Guirassy (doubtful); Junior Mwanga (ready to play).

Expected lineups Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse: Restes - McKenzie, Cresswell, Nicolaisen - Donnum, Casseres, Sauer, Methalie - Hidalgo, Magri, Gboho.

Nantes: Lopes - Amian, Awaziem, Radakovic, Cozza - Mwanga - Lahdo, Lepenant, Leroux, Abline - Mohamed.

Toulouse recent form

21/09/25: Auxerre 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)

13/09/25: Lille 2-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)

31/08/25: Toulouse 3-6 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1)

24/08/25: Toulouse 2-0 Brest (Ligue 1)

17/08/25: Nice 0-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)

Nantes recent form

21/09/25: Nantes 2-2 Rennes (Ligue 1)

14/09/25: Nice 1-0 Nantes (Ligue 1)

31/08/25: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre (Ligue 1)

24/08/25: Strasbourg 1-0 Nantes (Ligue 1)

17/08/25: Nantes 0-1 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1)

Head-to-head Toulouse vs Nantes

27/04/25: Nantes 0-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)

18/08/24: Toulouse 0-0 Nantes (Ligue 1)

11/02/24: Toulouse 1-2 Nantes (Ligue 1)

13/08/23: Nantes 1-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)

14/05/23: Toulouse 0-0 Nantes (Ligue 1)

Prediction for Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse, with home advantage and recent head-to-head results, can capitalize on the chance to end their losing streak. Nantes, despite showing signs of recovery with their draw against Rennes, face difficulties due to poor away form. A balanced match ending in a draw is a likely outcome.

Predicted score: Toulouse 0-0 Nantes