Issue 25140 Football Betting, Villa continues to decline, Arsenal holds steady, Cologne shows strength, Barca remains stable

1 Villa VS Fulham

The home side is currently eighteenth, vastly different from last season, with three draws and two losses in five games, no wins yet. It's quite unbelievable, and worse, apart from the opener against Newcastle, the other opponents are mediocre. In the last match, despite the opponent playing with one less man, they only secured a draw, highlighting how badly Villa are performing now, with goals for and against at 1/5.

The away team ranks eighth, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in five matches, showing decent overall performance, goals scored/conceded 6/5, but their away record is limited to one draw and one loss, drawing with Brighton and losing to Chelsea. Their away strength is somewhat weak.

The odds still favor the home team, but not strongly, which does not align well with the teams' current conditions. The home side played a midweek Europa League match with a narrow win over Bologna, hopefully this game will help them regain confidence.

Home win first, away win second

2 Newcastle VS 6 Arsenal

The home team sits thirteenth, with one win, three draws, and one loss in five games. Their three losses happened away, and their sole victory was against Wolves, indicating a decline in their winning ability this season. Goals scored and conceded stand at 3/3; their attack is weak while defense is decent, partly because except for Liverpool, their other four opponents are not strong, limiting their offensive power.

The away team ranks second, five points behind Liverpool. Considering their investments over the past two years, the results are somewhat disappointing. They have three wins, one draw, and one loss in five matches, with the only loss being a 0-1 away defeat to Liverpool, a direct title rival, showing they are always just short of the top spot. Goals for and against are 10/2.

The data supports the away team with considerable strength, which is significant against the home side, but the home team's defensive ability should not be overlooked.

Away win

3 Freiburg VS Hoffenheim

The home team is seventh, with two wins and two losses in four matches, winning the last two games and showing a return to form. Goals scored/conceded 8/8. It must be noted that the team started poorly in the first two games but has improved rapidly in the last two, with goals for and against at 6/1.

The away team ranks ninth, with two wins and two losses in four games. Both wins came away against Leverkusen and Union Berlin, which are strong opponents, showing decent away performance. Goals for and against stand at 8/10; one loss to Bayern accounted for four goals against.

The data slightly favors the home team, but the support is quite limited.

Home win first, draw second

4 Cologne VS Stuttgart

The home team is fourth, with two wins, one draw, and one loss in four matches. Their last two games resulted in a draw and a loss, including a recent away defeat to Leipzig, which is understandable. Goals scored/conceded 9/7. Their attack is decent but defense somewhat lacking, although a 4-1 home win over Freiburg was impressive.

The away team is eighth, with two wins and two losses in four matches. Both losses occurred away against Freiburg and Union Berlin, indicating limited away strength. Goals for and against are 5/5. They kept clean sheets in both home games.

The data shows no clear bias, slightly favoring the away side. However, the away team played a midweek Europa League match, which, despite a win, likely drained their energy. Combined with the home team's advantage, the visitors face some risk.

Home win

5 Union Berlin VS Hamburg

The home team is tenth, with two wins and two losses in four matches. After consecutive losses to Dortmund and Hoffenheim, they surprised with a 4-3 away victory over Frankfurt, showing large fluctuations in form. Goals scored/conceded 8/6, attack is good but defense slightly weak.

The away team has not been in the top league for years and seems out of their depth now, currently fifteenth. In four matches, they have one win, one draw, and two losses. Their recent home win over Heidenheim, the weakest Bundesliga team, is not impressive. Goals for and against stand at 2/8.

The data favors the home team with limited strength. Given both teams' ability and form, the support is somewhat insufficient, but the home side is still expected to win 2-1 at home and also overcome the weaker visitors.

Home win

6 Roma VS Verona

The home team is fourth, with three wins and one loss in four matches. The home defeat to Torino was somewhat surprising, though the home side controlled the game. Goals scored/conceded 3/1, usually winning by a narrow margin but showing stability.

The away team is fifteenth, with three draws and one loss in four matches, yet to win. They drew against Udinese and Juventus. Though their ability to win is limited, their defense is solid. Goals for and against are 2/6, including a heavy 4-0 loss to Lazio.

The data strongly supports the home team, but considering Roma's attack is not as strong as expected and Verona's defense is not as weak as assumed, plus Roma played a midweek Europa League match which affects fitness, the situation is more balanced.

Home win first, draw second

7 Pisa VS Frosinone

The home team, as a weaker side, currently stands nineteenth, likely facing relegation. In four matches, they have one draw and three losses. Their opening draw was against Atalanta, and they scored two goals against Napoli, but it's uncertain if they can continue to surprise. Goals scored/conceded 3/6, with two losses by just one goal.

The away team, a traditional strong club, is puzzling this season, currently seventeenth. In four matches, they have two draws and two losses, losing the last two games. Goals for and against are 3/6, with weak attack and average defense.

The data favors the away team, but only slightly.

Draw first, away win second

8 Lecce VS Bologna

The home team is bottom of the table, with one draw and three losses in four matches. Goals scored/conceded 2/8, showing poor offense and defense.

The away team is eleventh, performing moderately with two wins and two losses in four matches. The two losses were away against AC Milan and Roma, which is understandable. Goals for and against are 3/3.

The data supports the away team, aligning well with the current situation of both sides.

Away win

9 AC Milan VS Napoli

The home team is third, performing well overall with three wins and one loss in four matches. After a 1-2 loss to Cremonese in the first game, they have won three straight. Goals scored/conceded 7/2, showing solid offense and defense.

The away team leads the table with four consecutive wins, goals for and against at 9/3, excelling in both attack and defense.

The data slightly favors the home team, possibly because the visitors played a midweek Champions League match and might be fatigued. However, given both teams' league form, the away side should not be underestimated.

Draw

10 Elche VS Celta

The home team, newly promoted, ranks fifth, indicating excellent form. In six matches, they have two wins and four draws, undefeated. Their opponents include Atletico Madrid and Real Betis. At home, they have two wins and one draw, maintaining strong home form. Goals scored/conceded 8/5, showing good offense and defense.

The away team is fifteenth, with six matches yielding five draws and one loss, a master of draws. Except for a 0-2 away loss to Getafe in the first match, the rest ended 1-1, which is unusual. Goals for and against are 5/7.

The data shows no clear preference. Considering both teams' form, it is not easy for the away side to win, but the home team may also struggle to secure victory.

Draw first, home win second

11 Barca VS Sociedad

Home win

12 Betis VS Osasuna

The home team ranks eighth, with six matches yielding two wins, three draws, and one loss. At home, they have two wins, no draws, and one loss, scoring nine and conceding seven, showing decent overall performance. Home goals for and against are 5/3, quite solid.

The away team is thirteenth, with six matches of two wins, one draw, and three losses. Away, they have no wins or draws, with three losses, scoring five and conceding five overall, but conceding four in away matches. They are typical strong at home but weak away, with poor away performance.

The data supports the home team. Considering current home and away strengths, the home side is very likely to secure another win.

Home win

13 Nice VS Paris FC

The home team’s overall strength is much higher than the visitors. Currently twelfth, they have two wins and three losses in five matches, with two home wins. Goals scored/conceded 6/9, with seven goals conceded away. Their home offense and defense are acceptable.

The away team, newly promoted, ranks eleventh with two wins and three losses in five matches. Goals scored/conceded 9/12, with poor defense but quite good offense.

The data favors the home team, but not strongly. Given both teams’ strengths, this is reasonable. However, the visitors’ attacking ability is not weaker than the home side’s.

Home win first, away win second

14 Lille VS Lyon

The home team is sixth, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in five matches. The loss was a 0-3 away defeat to Lens, a strong team. Goals scored/conceded 13/8. They have two consecutive home wins with goals for and against at 3/1, including a win over Monaco, which is not easy.

The away team is fourth, with four wins and one loss in five matches. The only loss was 1-3 away to Rennes. Goals for and against are 7/3, with very solid defense. Away, they have one win and one loss, goals for and against 2/3.

The data slightly supports the home team, but the strength of this support is limited.

Draw first, home win second