Prediction and odds analysis for Marseille vs Ajax at 2:00 AM on October 1st, Champions League group stage

Marseille recently defeated Strasbourg 2-1 in Ligue 1 on September 27, 2025. Prior to that, they won 1-0 against Paris Saint-Germain (September 23, 2025), lost 1-2 to Real Madrid (September 17, 2025), beat Lorient 4-0 (September 13, 2025), and lost 0-1 to Lyon (September 1, 2025). Their last five games show inconsistent form (3 wins, 2 losses), scoring 8 goals and conceding 4. Under the guidance of coach Roberto De Zerbi, Marseille will depend on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Timothy Weah to leverage home advantage.

Ajax recently won 2-1 against NAC Breda in the Eredivisie on September 27, 2025. Before that, they drew 2-2 with PSV Eindhoven (September 21, 2025), lost 0-2 to Inter Milan (September 18, 2025), beat PEC Zwolle 3-1 (September 13, 2025), and drew 1-1 with Volendam (August 30, 2025). Their recent five matches reveal unstable form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), scoring 8 goals and conceding 7. Led by coach John Heitinga, Ajax will rely on Wout Weghorst and Steven Berghuis to create surprises.