Prediction and odds analysis for Paris vs Lorient at 1:45 AM on October 4th, Round 7 of Ligue 1

Paris recently drew 1-1 with Nice in Ligue 1 on September 28, 2025. Before that, they lost 2-3 to Strasbourg (September 21, 2025), won 2-1 against Brest (September 14, 2025), won 3-2 over Metz (August 31, 2025), and lost 2-5 to Marseille (August 24, 2025). Their last five matches reveal inconsistent form (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), scoring 9 goals and conceding 12. Under coach Stephane Gilli, Paris will rely on Jean-Philippe Krasso and Adama Camara to make the most of their home ground.

Lorient recently defeated Monaco 3-1 in Ligue 1 on September 27, 2025. Prior to that, they drew 1-1 with Le Havre (September 21, 2025), lost 0-4 to Marseille (September 13, 2025), lost 1-7 to Lille (August 31, 2025), and won 4-0 against Rennes (August 24, 2025). Their recent five matches show uneven performance (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), scoring 9 goals and conceding 14. Led by coach Olivier Pantaloni, Lorient will depend on Mohamed Bamba and Aiyegun Tosin to cause an upset.

The teams have met 5 times recently (mainly in Championnat National), with each side winning twice and one draw, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Paris enjoys home advantage with a good record against newly promoted teams, while Lorient has a strong attacking threat. A balanced game with a narrow win for Paris is the most likely outcome.

Squad status Paris vs Lorient

Paris: Otavio (suspended); Pierre-Yves Hamel (hamstring injury), Lohann Doucet (injury), Vincent Marchetti (injury), Yves Hamel (injury), Lohann Doucet (injury); Jean-Philippe Krasso (ready to play).

Lorient: Bandiougou Fadiga (ankle injury), Panos Katseris (thigh injury), Nathaniel Adjei (ankle injury), Trevan Sanusi (ankle injury), Isaak Toure (ACL injury); Mohamed Bamba (ready to play).

Expected lineups Paris vs Lorient

Paris: Nkambadio - Traore, Mbow, Otavio, De Smet - M. Lopez, Lees-Melou, Camara - Kebbal, Geubbels, Simon.

Lorient: Mvogo - Meite, Talbi, Faye - Le Bris, Avom, Abergel, Kouassi - Dermane, Aiyegun, Soumano.

Paris recent form

28/09/25: Nice 1-1 Paris (Ligue 1)

21/09/25: Paris 2-3 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)

14/09/25: Brest 1-2 Paris (Ligue 1)

31/08/25: Paris 3-2 Metz (Ligue 1)

24/08/25: Marseille 5-2 Paris (Ligue 1)

Lorient recent form

27/09/25: Lorient 3-1 Monaco (Ligue 1)

21/09/25: Le Havre 1-1 Lorient (Ligue 1)

13/09/25: Marseille 4-0 Lorient (Ligue 1)

31/08/25: Lorient 1-7 Lille (Ligue 1)

24/08/25: Lorient 4-0 Rennes (Ligue 1)

Head-to-head Paris vs Lorient

08/03/25: Paris 3-2 Lorient (Ligue 2)

14/12/24: Lorient 2-0 Paris (Ligue 2)

10/02/21: Lorient 2-1 Paris (French Cup)

30/07/19: Lorient 3-0 Paris (Ligue 2)

16/04/19: Paris 2-2 Lorient (Ligue 2)

Prediction Paris vs Lorient

Paris, benefiting from home advantage and strong offense, is favored to win narrowly. Lorient, despite the sharpness of Bamba, suffers from injuries and a poor head-to-head record. A close contest with a victory for Paris is the most plausible scenario.

Predicted score: Paris 2-1 Lorient