Prediction and odds analysis for Bremen vs St Pauli at 20:30 on October 4th, Round 6 of the Bundesliga

Preview and betting odds for Bremen vs St Pauli (20:30, 4/10). Forecast of the result, expected lineups, and expert analysis for the match between Werder Bremen and St Pauli in Round 6 of the 2025-26 Bundesliga season.

Bremen vs St Pauli Preview

90-minute odds: 0 : 1/4

Total goals: 2 3/4

Werder Bremen is currently going through a tough period under coach Horst Steffen. After 5 rounds, they have only won once (3-0 against Gladbach), drawn once, and lost four times, conceding at least 3 goals in 4 of those 5 matches, facing 80 shots — second only to Hamburger SV (85). Their attack scored 8 goals in the first 3 games but failed to score in the last two, including a 0-3 home defeat to Freiburg. Their form at Weser-Stadion is concerning with one draw (3-3 vs Leverkusen) and one loss this season, despite keeping 3 clean sheets in 5 home matches at the end of last season. A tough schedule (against Bayern, Frankfurt, Leverkusen) offers some understanding for Steffen’s struggles.

St Pauli, led by coach Alexander Blessin, has significantly improved compared to last season. The Kiezkicker have scored 8 goals in 5 matches, double their tally at the same stage in 2024-25, although they have conceded 8 goals. Their record is 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in 5 games, but they recently suffered back-to-back defeats against Leverkusen and Stuttgart (0-2 away). St Pauli is strong away with 2 wins early in the season, though their form has plateaued. Head-to-head history favors Bremen (3 draws, 1 win in the last 4 encounters), but St Pauli did record a 3-1 win in 1977 — their first Bundesliga victory.

Bremen holds home advantage but has defensive vulnerabilities, while St Pauli poses a threat offensively. The match is expected to be balanced, with St Pauli likely to capitalize on defensive mistakes to earn points.