The game scheduled for 7:30 PM on October 9, 2025, between Vietnam and Nepal in the third round of Group F for the 2027 Asian Cup qualifiers is forecasted to be dominated by Kim Sang Sik’s squad.
According to the ELO rankings, Vietnam holds a rating of 72 points, significantly higher than Nepal’s 46 points, highlighting a substantial gap in class and current form.
Based on the probability model from the Besoccer supercomputer, Vietnam has an 83.4% chance of winning, whereas Nepal’s chance of causing an upset is merely 4.3%. The likelihood of a draw is estimated at 12.3%, indicating that almost all factors favor the home team.
In their last five matches, Vietnam won four, lost one, scored 12 goals, and conceded 8. Under Coach Kim Sang Sik, the team has shown a more effective attacking style, especially in controlling the game and finishing efficiently. Young talents like Khuất Văn Khang and Đình Bắc are gradually becoming key figures in the Korean coach’s new tactical setup.
On the other hand, Nepal is still struggling to find their identity. In the past five matches, they managed only one win, two draws, and two losses, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 4. Their attack lacks creativity, and frequent defensive positioning errors make it difficult for the South Asian team when facing stronger opponents.
Statistics show that the two teams have never faced each other before. Thus, this encounter will be the first-ever meeting between Vietnam and Nepal at the national team level. With home advantage, a balanced squad, and steady form, Coach Kim Sang Sik’s side is expected to secure all three points to strengthen their lead in Group F.
Vietnam is at a crucial stage in the qualifiers for the 2027 Asian Cup with strong determination under Coach Kim Sang Sik. After two rounds, they are second in Group F with 3 points, one win behind Malaysia. However, after FIFA confirmed Malaysia’s use of fake naturalization documents for seven players, it is highly likely that AFC will forfeit Malaysia’s matches, including their 4-0 win over Vietnam. If this happens, Vietnam will be awarded a 3-0 victory and move to the top of the group, opening a great opportunity to qualify early for the next round.