Thailand won 2-0 against Taiwan at Rajamangala Stadium on the night of October 9, yet surprisingly slipped to third position in Group D of the final Asian Cup 2027 qualifiers because of a disadvantage in head-to-head goal difference.
Thailand started the match proactively but faced significant challenges against Taiwan’s deep defensive line. It wasn’t until the 30th minute that Jaroensak created a notable chance with a shot over the crossbar, then had to leave the field due to injury, replaced by Seksan Ratree. In the second half, Thailand increased their pace and were rewarded when Seksan headed in the opening goal at the 51st minute, followed by Chanathip’s stunning volley to seal a 2-0 win at the 78th minute. The Thai captain celebrated as if to assert dominance, but the joy quickly faded as the concurrent match result caused their ranking to drop.
In an earlier game, Sri Lanka caused a major upset by defeating Turkmenistan 1-0. This result left Thailand, Sri Lanka, and Turkmenistan all tied with 6 points. According to the rules, the ranking is determined by head-to-head goal difference. Turkmenistan beat Thailand 3-1, Thailand beat Sri Lanka 1-0, so Thailand’s goal difference is -1, placing them below Sri Lanka (0) and Turkmenistan (+1).
At the end of the first leg, Group D became unusually balanced. Turkmenistan and Sri Lanka jointly led with a +2 goal difference, while Thailand stood third despite having equal points. Taiwan ranked last with zero points after three matches.
Experts commented that although Thailand won, they still need to improve their finishing ability and maintain focus if they want to compete for a spot in the finals. A sports commentator shared: “Winning against Taiwan was essential, but to advance further, Thailand must learn to close out matches faster and minimize defensive errors.”
On the other hand, Sri Lanka continues to be the surprising story of the group. Ranked 197th in the world, the team has transformed thanks to naturalized players of European origin, having previously overcome Cambodia in the playoff round to reach the final qualifiers. They are now emerging as a tough competitor for Thailand and Turkmenistan.
Winning but still dropping in rank serves as a warning for the Land of Smiles team. With 6 points from 3 matches, Thailand still controls its destiny, but the road to the 2027 Asian Cup will clearly be challenging.