In the 25143 football victory and defeat lottery, there are many matches with clear favorites, making upsets unlikely; beware of Turkey.

1 Hungary vs Armenia

The home team has greater overall strength than the visitors and currently sits third in the group with one draw and one loss. This match is vital. Based on goals scored and conceded in two games, the home team’s offense is quite capable, scoring two goals against Portugal.

The visitors rank second in the group and have beaten Ireland on their home ground.

Data heavily favors the home team, who must give their all at home; otherwise, the situation will become quite critical.

First match home win, second match draw

2 UAE vs Oman

The home team is quite strong at home, having drawn 0-0 with Uzbekistan, considered a strong team in Asia, and defeated Qatar 5-0. The visitors have been in good form recently but their scoring ability is not very strong, often scoring just one goal.

Data supports the home team, though not strongly; considering both teams’ form, the home side still has better chances to win.

Home win

3 Bulgaria vs Turkey

The home team lost both matches with a goal difference of 0/6, showing limited attacking and defensive abilities. The visitors have one win and one loss, beating Georgia 3-2 and losing 0-6 to Spain. Although they conceded many goals, losing heavily to Spain is understandable.

Data strongly supports the visitors; given the current strengths, the home team has no advantage, and the visitors must win to secure second place in the group as they have no margin for error.

First match visitor win, second match draw

4 Estonia vs Italy

Visitor win

5 Portugal vs Ireland

Home win

6 Serbia vs Albania

The home team, with one less match played, is one point behind the visitors and ranks third in the group. This match must be won. In terms of strength, the home team also has the advantage. They played once before, drawing 0-0 away. Post-match stats showed the home team had better possession but fewer shots; overall, the teams were evenly matched.

Data favors the home team quite strongly, but the visitors’ good form should not be overlooked.

First match home win, second match draw

7 Spain vs Georgia

Home win

8 Iraq vs Indonesia

The home team has performed very well, losing only once in the last six matches to South Korea. The visitors lost 2-3 at home to Saudi Arabia last round, but played with good organization and strong attacking ability. The visitors must win this match or face a very difficult position in the group.

Data supports the home team, but considering both teams’ current form, the visitors should not be underestimated.

First match home win, second match visitor win

9 Faroe Islands vs Czech Republic

The home team surprised many by beating Montenegro 4-0 last round, keeping a clean sheet. However, Czech Republic is much stronger than Montenegro in absolute terms.

Data strongly supports the visitors, which aligns with reality. The chance of an upset is very low.

Visitor win

10 Netherlands vs Finland

Home win

11 Croatia vs Gibraltar

Home win

12 Denmark vs Greece

The home team leads the group, with three matches played: two wins and one draw, showing impressive performance. Notably, they have kept a clean sheet in all three games, demonstrating superior strength. The visitors have only beaten the weakest team in the group, Belarus, and their strength and form are poor.

Data gives strong support to the home team, but given the visitors’ poor form, the data might still be insufficient.

First match home win, second match draw

13 Romania vs Austria

The home team has five matches with two wins, one draw, and two losses, but their victories came against weaker opponents. They currently rank third in the group. The visitors have won all five matches, conceding only two goals, making them the strongest in the group.

They played once before, with the home team losing 1-2 away. Post-match stats showed the visitors dominated comprehensively.

Data favors the visitors, but the margin is smaller than expected. The visitors lead second-placed Bosnia and Herzegovina by only two points and must win all remaining games. With many star players, this is their strongest lineup in recent years, so no surprises are expected.

Visitor win

14 Austin vs Los Angeles FC

Overall, the home team holds no advantage in any aspect and their recent form is poor.

However, data does not favor either side and even gives the home team more confidence, possibly due to psychological advantage from recent head-to-heads over the past two years. There might be some hidden factors in this match.

First match draw, second match visitor win