Issue 25144 Football Win-Draw-Loss lottery, although France is strong, caution is needed; Spain is stable, Belgium is worrisome.

1 Iceland VS France

They faced each other once, with the home team losing 1-2 away. The technical stats after the match showed the visitors controlled the game with a 17-2 shot advantage, highlighting the difference in quality, but only scoring two goals and conceding one. The visitors’ defense is not flawless.

The data supports the visitors strongly, but this support is weaker than in the first leg, which is insufficient. Caution is advised.

First away win, second draw.

2 North Macedonia VS Kazakhstan

In the last match, the home team managed a 1-1 draw away against Belgium, maintaining good form. The away team suffered a heavy defeat against Liechtenstein, but the opponent was weak, so it’s not comparable.

In their first meeting, the home team won 1-0 away against the visitors. Post-match stats were evenly matched, with the visitors slightly ahead. With the venue switched, the home team might have an advantage.

The data strongly supports the home team, showing much greater confidence than in the first leg.

Home win.

3 Northern Ireland VS Germany

Both teams have equal points, making this match crucial for both. In the first leg, the home team lost 1-3 away. The post-match stats revealed a significant gap, with the home side struggling to threaten the visitors.

The data still heavily favors the visitors but with a reduced margin, indicating slightly less confidence, possibly because the visitors’ away performance is not as strong as at home.

First away win, second draw.

4 Slovenia VS Switzerland

The home team ranks third in the group with only two points, while the visitors have an outstanding record of three wins out of three, standing alone at the top.

In the first leg, the home team lost 0-3 away. Importantly, the visitors kept a clean sheet, showing a big difference in scoring ability between the sides.

The data strongly supports the visitors, but compared to the first leg, confidence has dropped a level. Although confidence seems lacking, the visitors’ consistency in the group is unmatched.

Away win.

5 Slovakia VS Luxembourg

Although the home team lost 0-2 away in the last round, away games are not their strength; their home form is quite good, considering beating Germany 2-0 is no small feat. The visitors have lost all three matches, scoring only once, indicating limited strength.

In the first leg, the home team won 1-0 away. Post-match stats showed the home team was actually outperformed, suggesting both sides rely heavily on their home advantage. The home team currently shares points with second-placed Northern Ireland, so this match is crucial and must be won.

The data gives very strong support to the home team, a big improvement from the first leg, showing full confidence.

Home win.

6 Sweden VS Kosovo

The home team has performed very poorly, with just one draw in three games, sitting at the bottom of the group. The visitors have four points, ranking second, with great prospects.

In their first encounter, the home team lost 0-2 away. Post-match stats show the home team led in several categories, but key shot numbers were close, 14 to 12. The visitors created 12 shots with limited possession, which is impressive.

The data gives the home team considerable support, but the first leg result was not optimistic, and the home team’s overall form is poor.

First home win, second draw.

7 Wales VS Belgium

The home team ranks third in the group, just one point behind the visitors, making this match extremely important for both sides.

In the first leg, the home team lost 3-4 away, but post-match stats showed the home side was stronger in many aspects. Scoring three goals indicates they are not weak, at least offensively.

The data supports the visitors, but the strength of support is limited compared to the teams’ paper strengths. Caution is needed.

First away win, second home win.

8 Qatar VS United Arab Emirates

In the opening match, the home team drew 0-0 with Oman, showing their form is not great and lacking cohesion. The visitors came from behind to beat Oman 2-1 at home, scoring two goals in the last 20 minutes, playing very offensively but lacking finishing.

The data offers weak support for the home team, which is not very favorable.

First draw, second away win.

9 Ireland VS Armenia

The home team has only one draw in three games, sitting last in the group with a goal difference of 3/5. It’s fair to say that the narrow 1-0 loss to Portugal last round was quite commendable, showing decent defensive organization.

The visitors have one win in three matches, which was against the home team by 2-1. Post-match stats favored the visitors. They lost 0-2 to Hungary last round, but their overall offense and defense are solid.

The data strongly supports the home team, not treating the visitors as in the first leg, which is risky. The points difference is only one, making this match very important for both.

First home win, second away win.

10 Latvia VS England

Away win.

11 Portugal VS Hungary

The home team has won all three matches, leading the visitors by five points with a goal difference of 9/2. Their overall performance is excellent and unmatched in the group.

The visitors have one win, one draw, and one loss, showing inconsistency with a goal difference of 6/5.

In the first leg, the home team won 3-2 away. Post-match stats showed the home team dominated the game but still conceded two goals, indicating some defensive issues.

The data gives absolute support to the home team, stronger than in the first leg, possibly because the venue switch boosts their confidence.

Home win.

12 Spain VS Bulgaria

Home win.

13 Turkey VS Georgia

In the first leg, the home team won 3-2 away, but post-match stats showed the visitors dominated the game, meaning the visitors controlled the match but lacked finishing compared to the home team.

The data strongly supports the home team, much more than in the first leg, but the visitors are not as weak as implied. Those who watched the match know the visitors play at a fast pace.

First home win, second away win.

14 Saudi Arabia VS Iraq

The home team beat Indonesia 3-2 but conceded two goals, showing some defensive issues. The visitors won 1-0 against Indonesia with a narrow margin, weak offense but good defense.

The data supports the home team, but not strongly. For the home team, solid defense is likely more important than offense, given the visitors’ fast counterattacks.

First draw, second home win.