In the 25146 football lottery, Brighton defends their home ground, Crystal Palace maintains their form, and Arsenal is in a precarious position.

1 Brighton VS Newcastle

The home side sits 12th, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in the past six games. At home, they hold 1 win and 1 draw, scoring and conceding 9 goals respectively. Their recent three matches include a draw with Tottenham, a win over Chelsea, and a draw with Wolves, reflecting instability. Both losses came on the road against opponents not particularly strong in the Premier League. Their last three home games yield one win and two draws, with goal stats of 5 scored and 4 conceded. They defeated Manchester City and drew with Newcastle, showing decent home strength.

The away team ranks 11th, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have no wins, 2 draws, and no losses, scoring 6 and conceding 5 goals. Their attacking ability is clearly weaker than last season, but their defense remains solid. The last three away matches all ended in draws; except for an average Villa, the opponents were not very strong. With a goal difference of 0/0, their away performance is severely limited.

The data does not show a clear preference; over the past two years, the home team has not been intimidated by the away side regardless of venue.

First pick: home win; second pick: draw

2 Burnley VS Leeds

The home team is 18th in the relegation zone, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six matches. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 12 goals, showing defensive weaknesses. Their home win and draw came against Sunderland and Nottingham, respectively, both relatively weak opponents, so the results carry limited weight. In the last three home games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, losing narrowly to Liverpool, with a goal difference of 3/2.

The away team ranks 15th, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 11 goals. Their performance is similar to the home side. They defeated a struggling Wolves away, but in the last three away games, they have 1 win and 2 losses, with goals at 3 scored and 7 conceded, showing limited away capability.

The data favors the away team; however, considering both teams' home and away strengths, the away side lacks a clear advantage. The home team, aiming to avoid relegation, must secure enough points against this promoted team. Given the away team's poor defensive record on the road, this support seems unjustified.

First pick: away win; second pick: home win

3 Crystal Palace VS Bournemouth

The home team ranks sixth, showing significant improvement over last season. In the last six matches, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. At home, they hold 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 9 and conceding 5 goals. Their only loss was away to Everton, which was unfortunate, while their home win against Liverpool was somewhat unexpected. In the last three home games, they have 1 win and 2 draws, showing a tendency to perform strongly against tough opponents.

The away team ranks fourth, with an even more impressive record: 4 wins and 2 draws in their last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 1 draw, scoring 9 and conceding 4 goals, demonstrating balanced offense and defense with a pragmatic style. In their last three away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, beating Tottenham, drawing with Leeds, and losing to Liverpool, showing some inconsistency.

The data slightly favors the home team, but the margin is small. Given the recent forms and home/away strengths, predicting a clear winner is difficult.

First pick: draw; second pick: home win

4 Manchester City VS Everton

The home team is fifth, somewhat disappointing overall, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches. At home, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 6 goals. They lost to Tottenham at home and to Brighton away, but have remained unbeaten in the last four games, drawing Arsenal and beating Manchester United, indicating a return to form. Their three home games yielded 2 wins and 1 loss, with a goal difference of 8/3. The upcoming international matches may impact their performance.

The away team is eighth, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 6 goals, showing significant improvement from last season. Their only away defeat was 1-2 against Liverpool. In the last three away games, they have 1 win and 2 losses, conceding 4 goals and scoring 5.

The data strongly supports the home team. While this support is somewhat large compared to recent forms, it is reasonable given the home advantage. The effect of international matches remains uncertain.

Home win

5 Fulham VS Arsenal

The home team is 14th, with a generally mediocre performance: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches. At home, they have 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 7 and conceding 10 goals, showing defensive issues. Notably, all three losses came away from home, reflecting a stark contrast between home and away performances. In their last three home games, they have 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 5 and conceding 2, with 7 goals overall, 5 of which were scored at home. They have conceded only 2 goals at home, illustrating a typical strong-home, weak-away pattern.

The away team is first, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 3 goals. Their only away loss was to Liverpool. In their last three away games, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, with a goal difference of 3/2. Their away performance is not invincible, and the upcoming international matches may affect them significantly.

The data favors the away team, with a considerable margin. However, considering the home team's strength at home and the away team's away ability, the contest remains competitive.

First pick: away win; second pick: home win

6 Cologne VS Augsburg

The home team, a newly promoted side, currently ranks sixth, which is impressive. In the last six matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. At home, they have 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 9 goals. Their two losses came against strong teams Leipzig and Stuttgart. Their home games include a 4-1 win over Freiburg and a 1-2 loss to Stuttgart, with a goal difference of 5/3.

The away team ranks 14th, performing averagely. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins and 4 losses. Away, they have 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 13 goals. Despite a strong attack, their defense is weak. Their three away games include 1 win and 2 losses, with the losses against relatively weak teams, indicating instability. Their goal difference stands at 5/5.

The data slightly favors the home team, but not strongly. The home team’s morale is likely high, while the away team’s away performance appears uncertain.

Home win

7 Mainz VS Leverkusen

The home team’s performance has been poor since the season started, currently ranked 16th, just one point above the relegation zone. In the last six matches, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses. At home, they have no wins or draws, with 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 10 goals, indicating weak offense and defense. Their only win and draw came away, which is unusual. They scored 5 goals total, 4 of which came in a single game against Augsburg. All three home games ended in losses, with a goal difference of 0/4.

The away team has declined compared to the previous two seasons due to significant loss of key players. They currently rank fifth, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 1 draw, scoring 12 and conceding 8 goals. Their attack is decent, but defense is somewhat weak. Among these six opponents, most are not very strong except Frankfurt, suggesting some schedule advantage. Their two away games yielded 1 win and 1 draw, with a goal difference of 5/4, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

The data shows no clear preference. The away team remains unbeaten in five games, though with defensive issues. The home team lacks offensive strength, making this data somewhat puzzling.

First pick: away win; second pick: draw

8 Leipzig VS Hamburg

The home team ranks third, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six matches. At home, they have 2 wins and no draws or losses, scoring and conceding 8 goals. Although they conceded 6 goals in one match against Bayern, other Bundesliga teams find it difficult to break their defense. Their recent form is strong with four wins and one draw. Their last two home games were both victories, with a goal difference of 5/1, showing solid home strength.

The away team, newly promoted, currently ranks ninth. Initially expected to be relegated automatically, they have performed well overall. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Away, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 8 goals. Despite conceding many goals, they have been unbeaten in the last three games, showing some resurgence. Their last three away matches include 2 draws and 1 loss, with a goal difference of 0/5, making it tough for mid-to-lower ranked teams to beat them currently.

The data strongly supports the home team. Considering both teams’ current form and home/away strengths, the home side should win comfortably.

Home win

9 Wolfsburg VS Stuttgart

The home team ranks fifteenth, with a poor record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in six matches. At home, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 10 goals. Their attack is decent, but their defense is weak. The teams they drew and won against are generally not strong. They lost their last three matches and in the last three home games, they have 2 draws and 1 loss, with a goal difference of 4/5.

The away team ranks fourth, showing steady improvement. In six matches, they have 4 wins and 2 losses. Away, they have 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 6 goals. Their two losses were away and occurred in the first three rounds of the league. They won all their last three matches. In their last three away games, they have 1 win and 2 losses, recently beating a strong Cologne 2-1, indicating clear form recovery.

The data shows no clear bias. Considering both teams’ home and away strengths and recent form, it will be tough for the home team to win.

First pick: draw; second pick: away win

10 Bayern VS Dortmund

The home team leads the table, four points ahead of the away side. They have won all six matches, with a remarkable goal difference of 25 scored and 3 conceded, showing a clear gap in Bundesliga offense and defense. Their three home games were all victories with zero goals conceded, a terrifying record.

The away team is second, with 4 wins and 2 draws in six matches. Away, they have 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 12 and conceding 4 goals, also very strong. Although their attack is not as powerful as the home team, their defense is solid. In their last three away games, they have 2 wins and 1 draw, with a goal difference of 7/3, suggesting some defensive issues on the road.

The data heavily supports the home team, but both sides have numerous international players. Post-international break, the impact on each team is uncertain.

First pick: home win; second pick: draw

11 Torino VS Napoli

The home team is 16th, performing poorly with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in six matches. At home, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 13 goals, showing problems in both attack and defense. However, their last six opponents were generally strong, so achieving 1 win and 2 draws is not too bad. They beat Roma and drew with Fiorentina and Lazio. Their two home matches resulted in 1 draw and 1 loss, with a goal difference of 0/3.

The away team leads the table, with 5 wins and 1 loss in six matches. Away, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 6 goals, showing solid offense and defense. In their last three away matches, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, recently losing to AC Milan, with a goal difference of 6/3.

The data favors the away team, but considering both sides’ strength, form, and home/away performances, this support feels insufficient. Still, confidence should be given to the away team as they share 15 points with Roma and need to extend their lead.

Away win

12 Roma VS Inter Milan

The home team’s second place is surprising to many. They have 5 wins, no draws, and 1 loss in six matches. At home, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 2 goals. Their attack is not particularly strong, but their defense is excellent. In their last three home games, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, losing to Torino, which seems inconsistent, with a goal difference of 3/1.

The away team ranks third but has been somewhat unreliable this season. In six matches, they have 4 wins and 2 losses. Away, they have 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 17 and conceding 8 goals. However, they have won their last three matches with a goal difference of 8/2, showing good form. Their last two away games include 1 win and 1 loss, losing 3-4 to Juventus, with a goal difference of 5/4.

The data supports the away team. While the home team’s defense is superior, the away side’s attack is stronger, making victory for the visitors not so easy.

First pick: draw; second pick: away win

13 Barcelona VS Girona

Home win

14 Villarreal VS Betis

The home team ranks third, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in six matches. At home, they have 2 wins and no draws or losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8 goals, showing defensive weaknesses. They have won all four home games, with a goal difference of 10/1. Honestly, their home strength is impressive.

The away team ranks fourth, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 11 and conceding 7 goals. Their attacking ability is stronger than the home team’s. In four away games, they have 1 win and 2 draws without any losses, with a goal difference of 6/5.

The data favors the home team, but considering both sides’ home and away strengths, this support is relatively modest.

First pick: home win; second pick: draw