Issue 25151 football betting, too many mixed matches, approach with caution, Leeds undefeated, Bremen troubled

1 Leeds -- West Ham

The home side is sixteenth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six games, and at home 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 8 goals, showing average form. In four home matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Overall, their home performance is normal, drawing with Newcastle and the strong Bournemouth, and narrowly losing 1-2 to Tottenham. Their home strength is not weak, with goals for and against both at 4.

The away team ranks nineteenth, indicating the club’s investment has not yielded the desired results. This season they must fight to avoid relegation. In the last six matches, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Away, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their offense and defense are weak. In the last four away games, they recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded, showing significant problems in both attack and defense. However, their away results are better than at home, which should not be overlooked.

The data favors the home team with considerable support. Although the home side performs moderately well at home, they are not particularly strong. The away team, despite poor results, has decent overall strength and away ability, so this data seems somewhat dismissive of them.

First choice home win, second choice draw

2 Preuss -- Sheffield United

The home team ranks eleventh, with recent six matches showing 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 5. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Overall, the opponents have been quite strong, making this record commendable. Conceding only 4 goals shows solid defense, and home strength is reliable.

The away team currently ranks 21st, with 3 wins and 3 losses in the last six games, no draws. Away, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Although their performance is average, their defense is not too poor. However, the three wins were against weaker teams, so their value is limited. Notably, they have won their last two matches, possibly indicating a return to form. In the last six away matches, they have 2 wins and 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 9, only beating weaker teams, showing significant attack and defense issues.

The data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the stronger away team overall. However, considering recent form and home/away strength, this support lacks strong conviction.

First choice home win, second choice draw

3 Bremen -- Berlin Union

The home team ranks twelfth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Their overall performance is average, with decent attack but unstable defense. Among the four opponents they beat or drew, only Leverkusen is strong; the others are weaker, so the record’s value is limited. In three home games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 4 and conceding 6, showing average home strength.

The away team ranks ninth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 13, showing poorer defense. In the last three away games, they have 1 win and 2 losses, conceding 8 goals. The two losses came against relatively strong opponents, which is understandable.

The data slightly supports the home team, but not strongly. Both teams have average attacking abilities, and the away side’s defense is unstable. Supporting the home team is reasonable.

First choice home win, second choice away win

4 Fürth -- Karlsruher

The home team ranks 14th, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches. At home, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Their attack is decent but defense is poor. Their two wins were against weaker teams, so not very valuable, and both were away. In the last four home games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9, showing average away strength.

The away team ranks seventh, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches. Away, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their defense is much better than the home side’s. The opponents in the draws and losses are weak lower-table teams, so the value is limited. In the last four away games, they have 3 draws and 1 loss, no wins, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Their away attack is weak, but defense is quite solid.

The data does not show a clear bias but gives some support to the away team. However, this does not consider the away team’s weak attacking ability on the road.

First choice draw, second choice away win

5 Schalke -- Darmstadt

The home team ranks second, showing a different performance than previous years. In the last six matches, they have 5 wins and 1 loss. At home, they have 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Their only home defeat was to ninth-ranked Kiel, and overall their performance is very good. In the last four home games, they have 3 wins and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 3, showing strong home ability.

The away team ranks fourth and also performs impressively, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches. Away, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They have been unbeaten in their last five games except for an away loss to fifth-ranked Kaiser. Their overall opponents are not very strong. In the last four away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their away scoring ability is good, and defense comparable to the home team.

The data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the home team. Considering both sides’ home and away strengths, it will likely be hard for either to gain an advantage.

Draw

6 AC Milan -- Pisa

The home team is first, somewhat unexpectedly, with 5 wins and 1 draw in the last six matches. At home, they have 3 wins, no draws or losses, scoring 10 and conceding 2, showing excellent offense and defense. Their opponents are generally strong, giving high value to these results. In four home games, they have 3 wins and 1 loss, losing the first round to Cremonese but then entering strong form. Their goals scored and conceded are 6 and 4 respectively; conceding some goals is understandable given the quality of opposition.

The away team is a newly promoted side with weak strength, having no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in the last six matches. Away, they have no wins or draws, and 2 losses, scoring 2 and conceding 9, demonstrating their limited capability.

The data gives full support to the home team, though the strength of support is somewhat conservative.

Home win

7 Sociedad -- Sevilla

The home team is in the relegation zone, ranking 18th, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six matches. At home, they have 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9, showing imbalance between offense and defense. They beat Mallorca and drew with Celta, both not strong teams, so the value is limited. In four home games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, narrowly beating Mallorca and drawing with Espanyol, again showing limited value. Goals for and against are 4 and 5.

The away team ranks ninth, showing improvement compared to previous seasons. In the last six matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Away, they have 2 wins, no draws, and no losses, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their attack is decent but defense is somewhat weak. They surprisingly lost 1-3 at home to Mallorca recently. In four away games, they have 3 wins and 1 loss, winning the last three away games consecutively, with goals for and against at 7 and 4.

The data supports the home team strongly given both teams’ states. However, the away team’s strong away form lacks data support. The home team managing a draw would already be a favor.

First choice draw, second choice away win

8 Paris FC -- Nantes

Both teams are similarly matched. The home team ranks eleventh, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches. At home, they have 2 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 9, showing good form and attack. The two losses were against top-six teams, making this a good record. In the last three home games, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, losing to third-ranked Strasbourg, with goals for and against at 7 and 5.

The away team ranks fifteenth, near the relegation zone. In the last six matches, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Away, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Although they concede few goals, their attack is weak. In four away games, they have 2 draws and 2 losses, no wins, with goals for and against at 2 and 4. Their offensive ability is limited.

The data strongly favors the home team. Although both sides have similar strength, the home team’s form and home ability clearly surpass the away team, which is reasonable.

Home win

9 Guingamp -- Clermont

The home team ranks sixth, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches. At home, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and no losses, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Their attack is strong but defense weak, conceding in almost every game, which is risky. In the last five home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, conceding 10 goals, mainly from a 4-goal loss to Saint-Étienne. Overall, their performance is decent.

The away team ranks sixteenth and performs poorly, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six matches. Away, they have 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Both offense and defense are weak. In the last five away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9, showing limited attack.

The data supports the home team with reasonable strength. However, attention should be paid as the home team drew their last two matches against lower-ranked opponents, indicating a slight decline.

First choice home win, second choice draw

10 Le Mans -- Boulogne

The home team ranks ninth, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their overall performance is good, especially recently drawing with the top-ranked team and beating the third-placed team, showing competitive form. In the last five home games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, winning against weaker teams and drawing with strong ones, but usually losing to mid-table teams.

The away team ranks fifteenth, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches. Away, they have 2 wins, no draws, and no losses, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their form is similar to the home team. Their two losses were to top-three teams, so those defeats are reasonable. In the last five away games, they have 3 wins and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Analyzing their opposition shows unstable form.

The data supports the home team with fair strength but somewhat ignores the away team’s away capability.

First choice home win, second choice away win

11 Reims -- Troyes

The home team is among the top two in Ligue 2 but currently ranks fifth, underperforming. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. At home, they have 1 win, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 11, showing average form, especially poor defense. In four home games, they have 3 wins and 1 loss, including a surprising 2-4 loss to Grenoble, conceding 5 goals in total.

The away team ranks first, exceeding expectations with 5 wins and 1 draw in the last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 1 draw, no losses, scoring 17 and conceding 6. Their attack is extremely strong, conceding about one goal per game but overshadowed by their offense. In four away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, weaker than their home form, suggesting a bit of wealth redistribution, scoring and conceding 5 each.

The data favors the home team but not strongly. The home side’s home ability is indeed better than the away team’s.

First choice home win, second choice draw

12 Saint-Étienne -- Grenoble

The home team ranks fourth, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six matches. At home, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 5. All four wins came away from home, which is puzzling. Their offense and defense are decent, but in four home games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, conceding 7 goals, showing poor home form.

The away team ranks fifteenth and performs much worse than the home side. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Away, they have 1 win, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring and conceding 7 goals. They are unbeaten in the last three games, showing improving form, including a 4-2 win over Reims and a 1-1 draw with second-placed Boulogne, demonstrating resilience. In five away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, overall poor with goals for and against at 7 and 8.

The data supports the home team, but given the rankings, this support is clearly insufficient. The away team’s recent form should not be underestimated, and the home team’s poor home record means caution is necessary.

First choice home win, second choice away win

13 Heerenveen -- Breda

The home team ranks eleventh, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches. At home, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and no losses, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Their attack is solid but defense weak. They have remained unbeaten in the last four games, showing good form. In five home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 8, overall decent.

The away team ranks fourteenth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches. Away, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their attack is weaker than the home team’s. In four away games, they have 1 draw and 3 losses, showing limited away ability, scoring 3 and conceding 9.

The data supports the home team with a fairly objective strength compared to the teams’ home and away abilities.

Home win

14 Elfsborg VS Jägers

The home team ranks ninth, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches. At home, they have 2 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their overall performance is decent, with two consecutive wins recently and quickly improving form. In four home games, they have 2 wins and 2 losses. The two losses were against strong teams, so understandable, with goals for and against at 4 and 5.

The away team ranks fourth, maintaining good overall form. In the last six matches, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Away, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 2. All three wins were at home, and their defense is quite strong. In four away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The draw and loss were against strong teams, with goals for and against at 4 and 2.

The data supports the away team slightly but not strongly, considering the home team’s attack and the away team’s defense.

First choice away win, second choice draw