Supercomputer only surpasses Chelsea's overwhelming strength against Sunderland

Chelsea is considered dominant with a 77% probability to defeat Sunderland, looking to secure a comfortable victory at Stamford Bridge while Maresca's team is performing strongly.

According to Besoccer, Chelsea is overwhelmingly favored against Sunderland in the upcoming match, with a winning probability of 77% compared to just 7.5% for the visitors. Statistics indicate this will almost certainly be a one-sided game, where Chelsea has a great chance to claim all three points at home.

Prediction models show Chelsea with an expected goals (xG) value of 2.36, while Sunderland only has 0.59, highlighting the clear attacking superiority of coach Enzo Maresca’s side compared to the lower-division team.

Regarding specific scores, the most likely results favor Chelsea. A 2-0 scoreline (14.6%) and 1-0 (12.4%) are the top predicted outcomes, followed by 3-0 (11.5%). This suggests Chelsea will probably keep a clean sheet while scoring between two and three goals.

Conversely, Sunderland’s chance to cause an upset is very slim, with a winning probability below 8%. Scenarios like 0-1 (3.1%) or 1-1 (7.3%) remain largely theoretical.

Chelsea is currently in great form, especially when playing at Stamford Bridge. Their solid defense combined with superior ball control allows them to dominate the game early. Players like Cole Palmer could make a difference against Sunderland’s defense, which is generally considered weak.

Meanwhile, Sunderland enters this match as the underdog. The Northeast England team is likely to adopt a defensive approach, aiming to hold a draw or seek counterattack opportunities. However, with Chelsea’s potent offense and the obvious gap in quality, keeping a clean sheet seems nearly impossible.

One notable detail is the high probability (22.6%) of Chelsea winning by a 2-goal margin, while a draw stands at only 15.5%. This further supports the view that Maresca’s team will have little trouble overcoming Sunderland.