Issue 25154 of the football betting pool, cup competitions are often breeding grounds for upsets, and teams competing on multiple fronts must proceed with caution.

1 Frankf vs Dortmund

Both teams are juggling multiple competitions; last weekend they each secured victories, but the home team seems to have superior fitness, while the visitors look tired. The statistics are inconclusive but lean slightly towards the visitors. The home team’s upcoming opponent appears less challenging, which might enable them to progress deeper into the cup.

First game away win, second game home win

2 Hertha vs Erzgebirge Aue

The home team is eighth in the league, while the visitors hold third place. Their situations differ greatly. The visitors are performing well enough this season to likely return to the Bundesliga. Competing on multiple fronts might not be advantageous for them. The home team’s points suggest little chance of promotion, as they are far behind, but the visitors are only two points off the top, so if they keep up, they have a strong chance. The home side can play more freely.

The data shows no clear preference but slightly favors the home team.

First game draw, second game home win

3 Heidenheim vs Hamburg

The home team ranks seventeenth and is in a difficult situation, showing poor overall league form, while the visitors are placed thirteenth with less pressure but have a notably weak away record.

The data does not strongly favor either side, though there is some support for the home team. Despite the home team’s poor league performance, the cup might bring a different outcome.

First game home win, second game draw

4 Wolfsburg vs Kiel

The home team’s league form is also poor but recently won away at Hamburg. Their overall style is decent, though their twelfth position is precarious. The visitors are tenth in the second division and also underperforming, but their away form is relatively strong.

The data strongly supports the home team, which is objectively fair from various perspectives. However, the home side would perform better focusing on a single competition; otherwise, their league campaign will be very tough. Rotation is essential.

First game home win, second game away win

5 Augsburg vs Bochum

The home team is fifteenth in the league and has been declining, suffering a heavy 0-6 defeat to Leipzig last round. They now face a relegation battle. The visitors are seventeenth in the second division, showing how poor their form is.

The data gives massive support to the home side; this match might be a chance for them to regain confidence.

Home win

6 Monchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC

The home team is eighteenth, dangerously close to relegation, and has performed disastrously this season. They need to conserve energy for the league. The visitors rank seventh in the second division and have been performing well overall, especially away from home.

The data heavily favors the home team, which seems excessive given their current situation. I won’t speculate on the home team’s mindset, but prioritizing the league over the cup might be wise.

First game home win, second game away win

7 St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim

The home team is fourteenth in the league and somewhat breathing easier but has been in poor form recently with five straight losses. The visitors are seventh and performing well overall, particularly strong away from home.

In their seventh league round match, the home team lost 0-3 to the visitors. Post-match data showed the home team performed quite well, matching the visitors in many aspects but lacked shooting accuracy.

The data shows no strong bias but suggests decent confidence in the home team.

First game away win, second game draw

8 Lecce vs Napoli

Away win

9 Atalanta vs AC Milan

The home team is seventh, with a recent record of 2 wins and 4 draws in six matches, undefeated. At home, they have 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 10 and conceding 4 goals. Their attack and defense are solid, and while they have many draws, they remain stable. Their four home games yielded 1 win and 3 draws with a 6/3 goal difference, but their opponents were not very strong, so the results lack weight.

The visitors rank third, just one point behind the leaders. If they win, they reclaim the top spot. They have 4 wins and 2 draws in their last six games, with an away record of 1 win and 1 draw, scoring 10 and conceding 4 goals. Their strength is similar to the home team’s but against tougher opponents, making their results more valuable. Their three away games include 2 wins and 1 draw, with a 5/0 goal difference.

The data shows no clear preference, but the home team’s involvement in multiple competitions has left them somewhat drained, while the visitors, without European matches, appear more composed.

First game away win, second game draw

10 Boulogne vs Reims

The home team ranks sixteenth, hovering near relegation, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 9 goals. Their overall performance is average, but their opponents have been relatively strong. Their two wins came away at ninth-placed Amiens and fifth-placed Montpellier. Their three losses were against strong top-six teams. Their last six home games show 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 5 goals scored and 10 conceded, indicating defensive weaknesses.

The visitors are sixth, which is unexpected for a relegation-threatened team, highlighting their inconsistent form. In their last six games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Away, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 10 goals, with defensive instability a major issue. They are currently on a three-game winless streak. In their last six away matches, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, conceding 10 goals. They lost to two top-four teams and drew with three mid-table sides, indicating psychological issues.

The data supports the home team, which is insufficient given the relative strength of both sides and their league positions.

First game away win, second game home win

11 Dunkerque vs Red Star

The home team is eleventh, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 7 goals, showing decent attacking ability but overall mediocrity. Recently, they won 3-0 away against third-placed Boulogne, boosting morale. Their last six home games show 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 10 goals, reflecting great inconsistency. They can beat the leaders but also lose to fourteenth-placed Nancy.

The visitors are second and appear in better form than the home team. Their last six games include 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Away, they have 3 wins and no draws or losses, scoring 7 and conceding 5 goals. In their last six away matches, they have 5 wins and 1 draw, scoring 12 and conceding only 2 goals. Their opponents included Montpellier, Guingamp, and Boulogne. Such a record justifies their second place.

However, the data somewhat supports the home team. Considering both teams’ offensive strength, the data is hard to justify, especially since the home team’s defense is much weaker than the visitors’.

First game home win, second game away win

12 Grenoble vs Guingamp

The home team is fifteenth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 8 goals, indicating weak offense and defense. Their last six home games show 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 6 goals, reflecting decent home fighting spirit.

The visitors rank tenth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 13 goals. Their attack is strong but defense poor. In their last six away games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 12 goals. They tend to beat strong teams but struggle against mid- and lower-table sides.

The data shows no clear bias, which somewhat reflects the home team’s home strength. Given both teams’ current form, this low margin is minimal and might even be risky for the visitors.

First game away win, second game home win

13 Rodez vs Annecy

The home team is twelfth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 10 goals. Their attack is decent but defense weaker. Drawing against Reims and Saint-Waast shows some merit. Their last six home games show 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 6 goals, indicating moderate home fighting ability.

The visitors rank eighth, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 2 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 6 goals. Overall, their offense and defense are good. Their last six away games show 3 wins, no draws, and 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 7 goals, showing away fighting ability similar to the home team’s home form.

The data favors the home team, but this support is weak compared to the recent overall form of both sides.

First game draw, second game away win

14 Saint-Etienne vs Boulogne FC

The home team is fourth, with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 12 goals. Despite a good attack, their defense is lacking, resulting in average performance. In their last five home games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal difference of 12/9. Their attack remains strong despite inconsistent results.

The visitors rank third, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last six games. Away, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and no losses, scoring 10 and conceding 6 goals. They have been impressive but recently lost at home to Dunkerque. In their last five away games, they have 2 wins and 3 draws without defeat, with a goal difference of 9/5, showing strong away form.

The data heavily supports the home team, overlooking the visitors’ strong season and away performance. This seems somewhat biased in favor of the home side.

First game home win, second game away win