Issue 25155 football victory lottery, cup match defensive intentions, Juventus troubled, Roma unstable, Inter Milan worry-free

1 Arsenal VS Brighton

The home team attacks from various angles, thriving comprehensively, recently securing a 1-0 home win against Crystal Palace, with seven straight league victories, their form truly intimidating. Yet, juggling multiple competitions is tough, making rotation essential this game.

Meanwhile, the visitors were defeated 2-4 away by Manchester United last league match, ranking twelfth, which is not ideal; focusing mainly on the league might be their priority.

The statistics heavily favor the home team; the longer the winning streak, the greater the confidence.

First choice home win, second draw

2 Liverpool VS Crystal Palace

The home side’s recent performance is puzzling, suffering several collapses, including a recent away loss to the relatively weak Brentford, marking their fifth defeat this season and dropping to seventh place.

The visitors have also declined, losing two consecutive away games and recently losing in European competition to the modestly ranked Larnaca. This squad struggles with competing on multiple fronts; focusing on the cup to secure European qualification might be more realistic. This match could hold surprises.

Data supports the home team strongly, but the visitors’ style somewhat counters the home side.

First choice home win, second choice away win

3 Wolves VS Chelsea

The home team is bottom of the table, having abandoned the cup to concentrate fully on the league.

The visitors currently sit ninth in the league, recently losing at home despite leading against a newly promoted team; collapsing at crucial moments has become habitual.

Data favors the visitors with moderate confidence.

Away win

4 Newcastle VS Tottenham

The home team ranks twelfth, facing multiple competitions but showing improving home form. The visitors also juggle several fronts and have risen to third place. Maintaining this league position would be positive for them.

Data gives considerable support to the home team, which might have been unthinkable before, but the visitors may prioritize the cup less.

Home win

5 Mainz VS Stuttgart

Both teams are managing multiple competitions. The home side struggles in the league due to this, nearing relegation, while the visitors are improving and currently third in the league. The visitors may value the cup more, while the home team might have to sacrifice something or risk regret.

Data shows no clear bias, but considering circumstances, the visitors appear more composed.

Away win

6 Cologne VS Bayern

The home team ranks eighth, commendable for a promoted club. The visitors, the strongest team, excel across competitions but will soon face Champions League matches, making rotation necessary.

Data strongly supports the visitors, though their priority likely lies with European and league matches.

First choice away win, second choice draw

7 Juventus VS Udinese

The home team is eighth, underperforming given the club’s stature. Their last six matches saw 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses; home record is 1 win, 2 draws, no losses; scoring 6 and conceding 8, showing weak defense and limited offense. Four opponents were strong, with only the Inter match being notably good. In four home games, two wins and two draws with a 7/4 goal difference indicates decent home strength against mostly strong teams, making this record quite valuable.

The visitors rank ninth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their opponents were generally weaker, making their results less impressive. In the last four away games, they had 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss with a 5/5 goal difference. They can surprise strong teams but are inconsistent.

Data heavily favors the home team, matching reality given their solid home form, but the risk of an upset remains.

First choice home win, second choice away win

8 Roma VS Parma

The home team employs highly pragmatic football, sitting second in the league. Their last six matches include 4 wins and 2 losses; home record is 1 win and 2 losses; scoring 6 and conceding 3, with strong defense but average attack. In four home games, two wins and two losses, losing to Inter is understandable, but defeat to Torino is disappointing, with a goal difference of 3/2.

The visitors rank fifteenth, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last six; away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scoring 2 and conceding 4. Their offense is poor but defense solid. In the last four away games, they had 2 draws and 2 losses with a 0/4 goal difference, showing weak away ability.

Data strongly supports the home team, fitting the current situation. The concern is whether the home side’s multiple competitions will affect fitness, as the visitors’ defense is not weak.

First choice home win, second choice draw

9 Como VS Verona

The home team ranks sixth, impressively consistent with 2 wins and 4 draws in their last six, unbeaten. Home record is 1 win and 2 draws; scoring 7 and conceding 4, showing balanced attack and defense. In four home games, two wins and two draws with a 6/2 goal difference, they have solid home strength.

The visitors stand seventeenth, with no wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in their last six; away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their form is poor, with very weak offense. In four away games, two draws and two losses with a 1/7 goal difference shows extremely bad form.

Data strongly favors the home team, reflecting both sides’ current form. The club with the biggest summer investment is targeting European competition.

Home win

10 Bologna VS Torino

The home side ranks fifth, maintaining good overall form with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last six; home record is perfect with 2 wins and no losses; scoring 12 and conceding 6. They have been unbeaten in the last five matches, showing strong offense and defense. Their two draws and one loss were away, which is notable. Their last three home games were all wins with a 7/1 goal difference, demonstrating strong home performance.

The visitors rank twelfth, mid-table, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scoring 8 and conceding 9. They have done reasonably well, including a home win against Napoli. Recent form includes two wins, and in their last four away games, one win, one draw, and two losses with a 5/10 goal difference. Wins against Roma and draws with Lazio show they can compete well.

Data supports the home team, but given both teams’ form, the strength of this support is insufficient.

First choice home win, second choice draw

11 Genoa VS Cremonese

The home team’s overall strength is decent but surprisingly sits bottom this season. Their last six matches yielded no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses; home record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; scoring 4 and conceding 10, showing poor offense and defense. In four home games, two draws and two losses with a 0/4 goal difference highlight their weak attack.

The visitors rank eleventh, with no wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss in their last six; away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their 1-4 loss to Inter shows their defense is not terrible. They are masters of draws, with recent results including 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss; away record is 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss; scoring 4 and conceding 6, performing fairly well away from home aside from the Inter match.

Data strongly supports the home team, but given both teams’ current form, this is not very convincing. The home side is stronger but has weak offense, so a draw seems the likeliest outcome.

Draw

12 Inter Milan VS Fiorentina

The home team has dropped to fourth, with 4 wins, no draws, and 2 losses in their last six; home record is 2 wins, no draws, no losses; scoring 13 and conceding 9. The two losses were away to Juventus and Napoli, indicating a drop in ability to handle tough games this year. In four home matches, they have 3 wins and 1 loss; the only loss was to Udinese, with a 12/4 goal difference. Overall, their home strength is good but less stable than before.

The visitors have struggled this season due to multiple competitions, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last six; away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; scoring 6 and conceding 11, showing very poor defense. In four away games, they have 3 draws and 1 loss, losing to AC Milan. The three draws were against weak opponents, with a 2/3 goal difference.

Data strongly supports the home team; if they want to stay in the top group, minimizing mistakes is essential.

Home win

13 Lorient VS PSG

The home team ranks sixteenth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six; home record is 1 win, 1 draw, no losses; scoring 7 and conceding 13. Their offense is decent but defense is poor. In four home games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss with an 11/11 goal difference. Except for a 7-goal concession against Lille, their defense is reasonable, making their overall quality quite good.

The visitors are strong, ranked first, but their advantage is less than in previous years, possibly due to focusing differently because of multiple competitions. Their last six matches include 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scoring 11 and conceding 5. In four away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss with a 10/4 goal difference.

Data absolutely favors the visitors. The home team’s attacking power matches the visitors’, and aside from the one heavy defeat, their defense is decent. The visitors concede goals regularly, but second-place Lens trails by only one point. If PSG fails to secure enough points against this weaker side, their top spot might be briefly lost.

First choice away win, second choice draw

14 Paris Saint-Germain VS Lyon

The home team ranks eleventh, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six; home record is 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses; scoring 9 and conceding 9, showing average performance. In four home games, they have 2 wins and 2 losses with an 8/7 goal difference. They beat weaker teams but lost to mid-to-upper table clubs, indicating a clear position.

The visitors rank fourth, performing well overall with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last six; away record is 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses; scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their opponents, except Angers, are all mid-to-upper table teams, facing a tough recent schedule. In four away games, they have 2 wins and 2 losses with a 5/6 goal difference. Their losses came against mid-upper ranked teams, while their wins were against second- and fifth-ranked clubs, showing they are competitive.

Data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the visitors. Given both teams’ strength, the data seems weak, implying a lack of confidence.

First choice draw, second choice away win