Issue 25160 football betting, Arsenal shines in red, Atletico Madrid and Juventus are secure, Real Madrid withdraws safely

1 Sude vs. Guizhou Renhe

Both sides have star players, yet overall the away team is superior. Reviewing three matches, the home team is clearly inferior, with goals scored/conceded 3/5 versus the away team’s 10/4, indicating a much stronger attack from the visitors.

The data favors the away team with decent strength. Confidence in the away side is considerable, but keep in mind their away capability still has certain restrictions.

First away win, then draw

2 Ittihad vs. Sharjah

The data heavily favors the home team. On paper, the home side is definitely stronger. The data gives significant support to the home team, who should play more aggressively at the AFC Champions League level.

Home win

3 Napoli vs. Frankfurt

The home team has one win and two losses in three Champions League matches, scoring and conceding 4/9. In the last match against Eintracht, they conceded six goals despite a red card in the second half, but overall their performance was not as poor as the result suggests. Their home strength is believed to be solid.

The away team has one win and two losses in three Champions League matches, starting with a 5-1 home win over Galatasaray, followed by heavy defeats to Liverpool and Atletico Madrid, with goals scored/conceded 7/11. Their strength is limited, collapsing against stronger teams.

Data strongly supports the home team who still have some fighting power at home.

First home win, then draw

4 Slavia vs. Arsenal

A clear gap in strength, away win expected

5 Atletico Madrid vs. Saint Gallen

The home team is performing well in the league with a quick recovery in form, recently winning 3-0 at home against Sevilla. In European competition, they have one win and two losses in three matches. It is believed their form will improve as the competition progresses. The away team won 3-1 against Eintracht in the first match but lost 0-4 to Inter Milan and Newcastle, showing almost no resistance against stronger sides.

Data gives the home team very strong support; it is believed they can secure enough points at home.

Home win

6 Bodo vs. Monaco

The home team is second in the Norwegian league with decent form, having two draws and one loss in three European matches, including a draw against Tottenham at home. Although their strength is limited, they always show extra motivation at home. Goals scored/conceded 5/7.

The away team ranks fifth in their league with average performance. In three European matches, they lost 1-3 away to Cluj and drew at home against Manchester City and Tottenham, showing a stronger home than away form. Goals scored/conceded 3/6.

The data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the home team. Ultimately, the overall strength gap is significant, and many teams find it hard to adapt to matches in the Norwegian league.

First draw, then home win

7 Juventus vs. Lisbon

The home team ranks sixth in the league with inconsistent performance, often dropping points. In three European matches, they have two draws and one loss: 4-4 vs Dortmund, 2-2 vs Villarreal, and 0-1 away loss to Real Madrid. Though results look modest, the team has not collapsed. Goals scored/conceded 6/7.

The away team is a bit puzzling, ranked second in their league with generally good performance. In three European matches, they have two wins and one loss, though opponents were not very strong. They lost away to Napoli, facing tougher tests. Goals scored/conceded 7/4.

Data supports the home team with reasonable strength based on three matches.

Home win

8 Liverpool vs. Real Madrid

The home team has been struggling lately but secured a 2-0 home win over Aston Villa last round, restoring some confidence. This is beneficial for their Champions League campaign. In three European matches, they have two wins and one loss, with the loss away to Galatasaray marking the recent downturn. Goals scored/conceded 8/4.

The away team leads their league and performs excellently in all competitions, winning all three European matches with goals scored/conceded 8/1, showing strong offense and defense.

The data shows no clear bias, which does not reflect the current form of both teams. Although the home team won recently, it does not guarantee full recovery. The away team’s style has shifted from extreme counterattack to possession-based play, resembling a slow and steady approach.

First away win, then draw

9 Olympiacos vs. Eintracht

The home team is second in their league with decent domestic form but poor European performance: one draw and two losses in three matches. They failed to beat a weaker team and suffered heavy defeats against stronger opponents, scoring/conceding 1/8. Their European performance is unimpressive.

The away team is also second in their league but clearly stronger overall. In three European matches, they have one win, one draw, and one loss. They surprisingly lost 1-3 at home to Saint-Gilloise but then drew away at Leverkusen and won at home against Frankfurt, showing improvement.

The data shows no clear bias, which is odd since the home team lacks the strength to compete with the visitors and performs poorly in Europe. I trust the stronger attacking away team more.

First away win, then draw

10 Dortmund vs. Bayern

This is a true contest of strength. The home team sacrificed their domestic league for this Champions League campaign, while the away team has boosted their left flank with Diaz, greatly enhancing their attack.

The home team still leads their league but with less dominance than previous years, often forced to settle for draws. They seem willing to prioritize defending their Champions League title over the league. They have won all three European matches against quality opponents: 4-0 vs. Atletico, 2-1 away vs. Barcelona, and 7-2 away vs. Leverkusen – very impressive.

The away team has shown strong league form this season, much improved from the last two years. They have also won all three European matches, scoring/conceding 12/2. Except Chelsea, their opponents were relatively weak, so the quality of wins is moderate.

The data shows no clear bias. Both teams have strong offense and decent defense. Since the Champions League format has changed, this match may be decisive, though more matches remain.

First draw, then home win

11 Tottenham vs. Copenhagen

The home team ranks fifth in their league and is generally good, but recently lost two matches in league and cup, showing instability. In three European matches, they have one win and two draws, but opponents were average and no strong teams faced. Results: 1-0 win vs Villarreal, 2-2 vs Bodo, 0-0 vs Monaco.

The away team is fourth in their league but performs poorly in Europe with one draw and two losses: 2-2 vs Leverkusen, 0-2 away loss to Qarabag, and 2-4 home loss to Dortmund. Their strength is limited, especially away.

The data strongly supports the home team, which aligns with the relative strength of both sides.

Home win

12 Birmingham vs. Millwall

The home team ranks eleventh, with recent six matches yielding 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Home record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 7 goals. Performance is average and inconsistent. Their attack and defense are decent, but opponents were not very strong, lacking quality. Recent home form: 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 6. The best recent opponent was Huddersfield, ranked seventh. Overall, the opposition is weak but the home team has some ability at home.

The away team ranks fourth, the highest and best form opponent for the home team recently. Both sides are close in strength. Recent six matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. Away record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Although results are good, their attack and defense are similar to the home team, but overall opponent quality is higher. Recent six away matches: 3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 6, but most away opponents were lower-ranked teams.

The data supports the home team strongly. Given recent form, this support is considerable and might even be underestimated. The away team is likely competing for promotion and unlikely to ease up now.

First draw, then away win

13 Letchworth vs. Middlesbrough

The home team still has overall English Premier quality but ranks only 14th in the Championship, showing poor form. They are 8 points behind second place. Recent six matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses. Home record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 8, with big problems in attack and defense. They have lost three straight and can’t compete with top teams. Recent six home matches: 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Despite decent defense, their attack has dropped sharply.

The away team ranks second and has a strong chance of promotion this season. Recent six matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses. Away record: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Recent form is poor, especially two away losses against weak opponents. Recent six away matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8, showing inconsistency.

The data slightly favors the home team, which is reasonable considering both teams’ recent form and home/away capabilities.

First draw, then home win

14 Charlton vs. Scunthorpe

The home team ranks eighth, which is commendable for a newly promoted side. Recent six matches: 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss. Home record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 6, showing decent attack and defense and stable performance. Recent six home matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Although opponents are generally weak, the team is stable with solid home defense and attack.

The away team ranks twelfth. Recent six matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses. Away record: 1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Results are decent but attack and defense are weak. Recent six away matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 8, with three straight away losses recently.

The data shows no clear bias but gives more confidence to the home team. Considering recent attack and defense and home/away form, the home side holds the advantage.

Home win