Issue 25169 Football Betting, Sunderland May Continue as Dark Horse, Manchester City Secure, Dortmund Beware

1 Brighton VS Brentford

Home Team:

Ranked eleventh in the league, their points situation is remarkable; the difference between eleventh and fourth is only one victory, and a small mistake could see them fall beyond the top ten. Recently, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in six matches, with a perfect home record of 2 wins, no draws or losses, scoring 11 and conceding 7 goals. This is quite commendable overall. Their two draws and one loss happened away, including a 2-4 loss to a Manchester United side that is finding form. Over their last five home games, they have three wins and two draws with a goal difference of 10 scored to 5 conceded, showing excellent home form against strong teams like Manchester City, Newcastle, and Tottenham, which adds significant value.

Away Team:

Ranked twelfth, their points tally matches the home side. In the last six games, they have 4 wins and 2 losses, with an away record of 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their recent form is impressive, having beaten Manchester United, Liverpool, and Newcastle consecutively, all valuable wins. However, in their last five away games, they only managed one win against four losses, with a goal difference of 5 for and 10 against. This team is a classic example of strong at home but weak away, which limits their league position.

Data:

The data favors the home team with moderate confidence. Both sides have been strong recently, but the home team’s strength in their own stadium significantly exceeds the away team’s away performance.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw

2 Fulham VS Sunderland

Home Team:

Currently fifteenth in the league, their performance has been poor. Over the last six matches, they have 1 win and 5 losses, with a home record of 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Their only home victory was against Wolves, who are also struggling. They have suffered four consecutive away defeats, which is quite alarming. In their last five home games, they have three wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring 8 and conceding 3, showing decent home strength and solid defense. However, their opponents have generally been weak, so the quality of these results is limited.

Away Team:

Ranked fourth, Sunderland is emerging as a major surprise. As a newly promoted side, reaching this level is impressive, especially in a league like the Premier League. In their last six games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with an away record of 2 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their last five away games show 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. Although their away form is not outstanding, they are pragmatic. In the previous round, they overturned a deficit to win 2-1 away at Chelsea.

Data:

The data supports the home team with significant confidence. However, recent form shows the home side is not as strong as the visitors. From a home and away perspective, the home team is clearly superior. It should also be noted that the away team plays a very pragmatic style with effective counterattacks.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: away win

3 Liverpool VS Nottingham Forest

Home Team:

From a strong start to the season, Liverpool has dropped quickly to eighth place. Their last six matches include 1 win and 5 losses, with a home record of 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their attacking options seem to have disappeared, while defensive issues have intensified. In their last match, they lost 0-3 away at Manchester City, showing they struggle against top teams. However, in their last five home games, they have four wins and one loss, scoring 10 and conceding 5, so their home form remains somewhat reliable, with the only home defeat against Manchester United.

Away Team:

This team is overloaded with multiple competitions this season, causing player fatigue. They are ranked 19th in the league, which is dangerous. Their last six matches include 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with an away record of no wins, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Both attack and defense have been weak. A positive sign is their recent two matches with 1 win and 1 draw, showing slight improvement: a 2-2 draw with Manchester United and a 3-1 win over Leeds, both at home. In their last five away games, they have two draws and three losses, scoring 2 and conceding 9, indicating very poor away form.

Data:

The data strongly supports the home team. For a club of this stature, failing to secure all three points would be disastrous, especially since the away team’s away ability is very limited. Both teams face challenges from multiple competitions, so the situation is balanced.

Primary pick: home win

4 Wolves VS Crystal Palace

Home Team:

Currently bottom of the league, relegation seems almost certain this season. In their last six games, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a home record of no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 4 and conceding 13, demonstrating poor form. In their last five home matches, they have 1 draw and 4 losses, with a goal difference of 6 scored to 14 conceded, showing both attack and defense struggles.

Away Team:

Ranked tenth, despite competing on multiple fronts this season, it is impressive they remain in this position. They still have hopes of European qualification based on points. Their last six matches show 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with an away record of no wins, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 7. The two losses were away to Arsenal and Everton. In their last five away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal difference of 6 scored and 4 conceded. Their attacking ability away matches the home team, but their defense is better and their counterattack stronger, especially with Mateta being very effective.

Data:

The data slightly favors the away team, but the confidence is not strong, possibly reflecting some doubt about their recent form. However, the away team is very pragmatic.

Primary pick: draw; secondary pick: away win

5 Newcastle VS Manchester City

Home Team:

Ranked fourteenth, multiple competitions have caused player fatigue leading to poor results. In their last six matches, they have 2 wins and 4 losses, with a home record of 2 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 11. The defense has clearly worsened. Except for Arsenal, their recent opponents have been relatively weak, highlighting the home team’s poor recent form. In their last five home games, they have 2 wins and 4 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 9. The two wins came against Nottingham Forest, who are struggling, and Fulham, who are poor away.

Away Team:

Currently second in the league, the visitors appear to be regaining their former form. In their last six matches, they have 5 wins and 1 loss, with an away record of 1 win, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 14 and conceding 3, showing excellent form. In their last five away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Although their away form looks average, the players are adapting well to Guardiola’s tactics as the season progresses.

Data:

The data supports the away team but not strongly, reflecting that the visitors have not shown dominance away recently, something unimaginable in previous seasons.

Primary pick: away win

6 Augsburg VS Hamburg

Home Team:

Ranked fifteenth, only two points above the relegation zone, their overall performance is poor. In their last six matches, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a home record of 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their attack remains decent, but defense is weak. In their last five home games, they have 1 win and 4 losses, with a goal difference of 6 scored to 15 conceded.

Away Team:

Ranked thirteenth, in their last six matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with an away record of no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their defense is much stronger than the home team. In their last five away games, they have 2 draws and 3 losses, with a goal difference of 2 scored to 11 conceded. Their scoring ability away is very poor, and defense is only moderately good.

Data:

The data shows no clear bias, slightly favoring the away team. Recent form is similar for both sides. The home team has a stronger attack but weaker defense, while the away team has weaker offense and better defense.

Primary pick: draw

7 Bayern VS Freiburg

Primary pick: home win

8 Dortmund VS Stuttgart

Home Team:

Ranked third, due to multiple competitions and players returning from international duty, they are likely fatigued. In their last six matches, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a home record of 1 win and 1 draw, scoring 7 and conceding 4. The goal difference suggests some inconsistency, and many wins have been by a single goal. In their last four home games, they have 3 wins and 1 draw, with a goal difference of 6 scored to 1 conceded. Overall, their home form remains trustworthy.

Away Team:

Ranked fourth, equal on points with the home team, also facing multiple competitions. In their last six matches, they have 5 wins and 1 loss, with an away record of 2 wins and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Their recent form is quite strong, especially offensively, although their opponents have been relatively weak, limiting the value of these results. In their last five away games, they have 2 wins and 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Data:

The data supports the home team with considerable confidence. However, looking at recent performances and home/away strength, the away team actually holds more advantage. This confidence level is significant but overlooks the visitors’ recent strong form.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: away win

9 Cologne VS Frankfurt

Home Team:

Ranked ninth, they have performed well this season, but as the season progresses, their thin squad shows. In their last six matches, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a home record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Two of their losses were away. In their last four home games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 5, showing decent home form.

Away Team:

Ranked seventh, their performance has been below expectations and inconsistent. In their last six matches, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with an away record of 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Although the stats look good, only Bayern among their last six opponents is strong; others are average, so the quality of results is limited. In their last five away games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Their offense is strong, but their defense is fragile.

Data:

The data shows no clear preference, indicating limited confidence in the away team. The home team’s home strength, especially defensively, is quite solid.

Primary pick: away win; secondary pick: home win

10 Fiorentina VS Juventus

Home Team:

Bottom of the league, which is shocking. There must be major internal issues, or they wouldn’t be performing so poorly. In their last six matches, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a home record of no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 12, showing no form. In their last five home games, they have 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 10.

Away Team:

Ranked sixth, their performance is average, likely hampered by multiple competitions. In their last six matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with an away record of 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their attacking power is limited, but their defense is solid. In their last five away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 5.

Data:

The data favors the away team but not strongly, reflecting limited confidence, possibly due to the visitors’ recent attacking struggles.

Primary pick: draw; secondary pick: away win

11 Napoli VS Atalanta

Home Team:

Ranked fourth, showing average recent form, having dropped from first to fourth. In their last six matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a home record of 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their famous attacking style has been noticeably affected recently, but both losses were away. In their last five home games, they have 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 9 and conceding 4, showing strong home capability.

Away Team:

Ranked thirteenth, which is disappointing. Despite also competing on multiple fronts, their form is poor. In their last six matches, they have no wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with an away record of no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 3 and conceding 7. They have too many draws, insufficient attack, and declining defense. In their last five away games, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their defense looks solid, but their opponents (except Juventus) were not strong, indirectly showing their decreased ability to win.

Data:

The data slightly favors the home team. To maintain their Champions League position, they need to hold steady, as there is little room for error.

Primary pick: home win

12 Barcelona VS Bilbao

Both teams face multiple competitions, and the home team’s many internationals are relatively fatigued.

The data strongly supports the home team, who currently trail Real Madrid by three points and have a great chance to reclaim first place. They will not miss this opportunity.

Primary pick: home win

13 Osasuna VS Sociedad

Home Team:

Ranked sixteenth, performing poorly. In their last six matches, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a home record of 1 win, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their attack and defense have collapsed. They have not won in their last four matches. Most of their recent opponents, except Atletico Madrid and Real Betis, are not strong, showing their poor form. In their last five home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their home form is stable but against weak opponents, limiting the value.

Away Team:

Ranked fourteenth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 8. They have not lost in their last four matches, showing signs of improvement. In their last six away games, they have no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9, indicating poor away ability. However, their last two away games ended in draws, suggesting some stability on the road.

Data:

The data shows no bias. The home team’s recent form is much worse than the away team’s, but their home strength is considerably better. The home team must work hard to escape their predicament.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw

14 Villarreal VS Mallorca

Home Team:

Ranked third, their overall form is excellent. In their last six games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a home record of 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Both attack and defense are strong. Their only away loss was 1-3 to Real Madrid. In their last six home games, they have 5 wins and 1 draw, scoring 16 and conceding 3, showing great stability.

Away Team:

Ranked fifteenth, their form is poor. In their last six matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with an away record of 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Though their overall performance looks decent, their two losses were away. In their last six away games, they have 1 win and 5 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 12, showing limited away ability. Their attack is decent, but their defense is very weak.

Data:

The data heavily favors the home team. Considering recent form and home/away strength, the home team has a clear advantage. However, the away team occasionally shows unpredictable performances, so caution is advised.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw