AI forecasts that Erling Haaland will surpass the legendary Alan Shearer's record of 260 goals after just 287 matches, if he maintains his current incredible scoring rate in the Premier League.
Alan Shearer's place in the Premier League record books is seriously threatened by the goal-scoring machine Erling Haaland.
The Norwegian striker recently reached 100 Premier League goals in only 111 games, becoming the fastest player to hit this milestone in the league's history.. This achievement came during Manchester City's thrilling 5-4 victory over Fulham, with Haaland scoring in the 17th minute at Craven Cottage.
For comparison, Alan Shearer, who holds the record of 260 Premier League goals, took 124 matches to reach 100 goals. According to predictions from AI Gemini, the Man City star could completely erase this nearly 20-year-old record after only 287 games.
If he continues his phenomenal rate of over 0.9 goals per game and averages 31 games per season, Haaland will catch up to Shearer by the latter half of the 2029/30 season, which is 154 games earlier than the veteran — an almost unimaginable figure in modern football.
Of course, everything depends on whether the 25-year-old striker can avoid injuries and stay at Man City long enough. But with the massive contract extension until 2034, this scenario is entirely feasible.
Since arriving at Etihad in 2022, Haaland has won the Premier League Golden Boot twice, scoring 36 goals in his first season and 27 in the 2023/24 season. This season, he continues to lead the scoring charts with 15 goals in 14 matches. In total, Haaland has amassed 100 goals and 19 assists in just three years playing in England.
If he maintains his current form, AI predicts Haaland could surpass 260 goals even before 2030 — a scenario that would make him a genuine nightmare for every Premier League defense and the one to dethrone Shearer's nearly two-decade-long iconic status.