Issue 25180 football fourteen matches, beware of Chelsea and Man City, Liverpool may stumble, Barcelona is unwell

1 Bournemouth VS Chelsea

The home team is ranked sixteenth, having started the season well but then declined, recently suffered a home defeat to Everton, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six rounds, home record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 7 goals and conceding 13, showing very abnormal performance. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 5, with a very solid home record.

The away team ranks fourth, showing very unstable performance this season, recently lost 3-1 away to Leeds, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches, away record 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 6 goals. In the last six away games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 7, performing decently but often dropping points unexpectedly.

The data favors the away team but not strongly; Bournemouth’s attack might be better than Leeds, yet their recent form is poor. A second consecutive loss is unlikely.

Draw first, away win second

2 Everton VS Nottingham

The home team ranks tenth, recently won away against Bournemouth, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches, home record 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8 goals. Their performance looks decent but the goal stats are interesting: they can lose heavily to strong teams but are steady against mid-to-lower teams. In the last six home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 9 goals.

The away team ranks fifteenth, recently escaping the relegation zone with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches, away record 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 7 goals. In the last six away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Overall, they tend to hold their own against strong teams but struggle against weaker ones.

The data slightly supports the home team, but overall both sides have similar offensive and defensive capabilities.

Draw first, home win second

3 Newcastle VS Burnley

Home win

4 Tottenham VS Brentford

The home team currently ranks eleventh, declining rapidly, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches, home record 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 11 goals. Although their attack remains decent, their defense is poor, facing four strong opponents which makes it tough. In the last six home games, they have 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9, showing very weak home form. Bournemouth, Wolves, and Fulham all managed to challenge them.

The away team ranks thirteenth, with 3 wins and 3 losses in the last six games, no away wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 10 goals. In the last six away matches, they have 1 win and 5 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11, strangely fearless at home but vulnerable on the road.

The data favors the home team slightly, not strongly; given the teams’ strength, this is enough, but recent form shows they are close. Hopefully, the home side can show some spirit at home.

Home win first, away win second

5 Man City VS Sunderland

From the last two games, the home team’s defense has been problematic, though their wins were lucky. Last round they narrowly won 5-4 away against Fulham, and before that, they edged Leeds 3-2 after being dominated for half the match.

The away team has been quite strong recently, not giving many big teams any advantage.

The data gives heavy support to the home team, ignoring the away team’s recent form, which is very risky.

Home win first, draw second

6 Leeds VS Liverpool

The home team has recently been energized, losing narrowly 2-3 to Man City away but dominating the second half, then winning 3-1 at home against a strong Chelsea side, with a 3-1 goal difference. Although temporarily out of the relegation zone, they still need to fight for survival.

The away team has remained unbeaten in the last two rounds, showing signs of recovery, but unfortunately, they face a Champions League match next week, which is not ideal for a team currently struggling.

The data supports the away team, but the strength of this support is insufficient given both teams’ abilities. Recent form suggests the home team aims to secure safety in one go, which makes them quite dangerous now.

Away win first, home win second

7 Augsburg VS Leverkusen

The home team ranks fourteenth, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six games, scoring 4 and conceding 14, performing poorly. In the last six home matches, they have 2 wins and 4 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 15.

The away team ranks fourth, with 2 wins and 4 losses in the last six games, only losing to Bayern and Dortmund, scoring 16 and conceding 9, overall performing well. In the last five away games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 11.

The data favors the away team, but the strength gap is not that big. Recently, the away team’s attack is much stronger than the home side’s. Their position is not very secure, and despite playing a Champions League match next week, qualifying for next season remains crucial.

Away win

8 Stuttgart VS Bayern

The home team ranks sixth, just one step from the Champions League zone, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches, home record 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 11. In the last six home games, they have 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 3, showing decent home form but against weaker opponents, so quality is questionable.

The away team ranks first, with 5 wins and 1 draw in the last six games, away record 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 19 and conceding 6, performing impressively. In the last six away matches, they have 5 wins and 1 draw, scoring 19 and conceding 5, showing strong away ability.

The data gives strong support to the away team. Both teams have Champions League matches next week, but their situations differ: the away team can afford to rest players, while the home team has little margin for error and must play their best squad.

Away win first, draw second

9 Wolfsburg VS Union Berlin

The home team ranks fifteenth, close to the relegation zone and eager to escape, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six games, home record 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 12, performing poorly. In the last six home matches, they have 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 14, losing the last four games.

The away team ranks eleventh, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches, away record 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 6, showing solid defense. In the last five away games, they have 2 wins and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9.

The data supports the home team, but this strength does not fully consider recent form and home/away capabilities.

Draw first, home win second

10 Heidenheim VS Freiburg

Away win

11 Leipzig VS Frankfurt

The home team ranks second, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six games, home record 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 5. Their only non-wins were away. Overall, they perform well, with five consecutive home wins, scoring 12 and conceding 3, showing reliable home strength.

The away team ranks sixth, with 3 wins and 3 draws in the last six matches, away record 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 7, performing well but inconsistent. In the last five away games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 17 and conceding 14, strong attack but weak defense, conceding in every game.

The data favors the home team significantly. An advantage for the home side is that they do not have European matches, while the away team does.

Home win first, draw second

12 Inter Milan VS Como

The home team ranks third, with 4 wins and 2 losses in the last six games, home record 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their losses were to two strong teams. In the last six home matches, they have 4 wins and 2 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 5. The home team cannot afford another loss and must secure their Champions League spot.

The away team ranks fifth, just one step from the Champions League zone, performing well this season with 3 wins and 3 draws in the last six games, away record 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 2, showing better offense and defense balance than the home team. In the last six away matches, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 4.

The data heavily supports the home team but overlooks that the home side has European commitments, and the away team’s strong performance this season is comparable if not better.

Home win first, draw second

13 Betis VS Barcelona

The home team has decent home strength, while the away team often struggles on the road. Additionally, the Champions League match next week is very important for the visitors.

The data supports the away team, but the strength is not as large as expected, which is somewhat unfriendly.

Away win first, home win second

14 Bilbao VS Atletico Madrid

Away win