Preview and betting odds for Alaves vs Real Madrid at 03:00 on December 15, 2025, La Liga 2025/26

13/12/2025 10:28:00 pandatv

Preview and betting odds for Alaves vs Real Madrid at 03:00 on December 15, 2025. Predictions, expected lineups, and expert analysis for the La Liga 2025/26 Round 16 match between Alaves and Real Madrid.

Match preview: Alaves vs Real Madrid

90-minute odds: 3/4 : 0

Total goals: 2.5

Alaves (11th place, 18 points) will host Real Madrid (2nd place, 36 points) at Mendizorrotza Stadium. This match is vital for Real Madrid as they seek a win to restore morale after a disappointing streak and to prevent Barcelona from increasing their lead at the summit.

Real Madrid is going through a minor crisis with two consecutive defeats (0-2 against Celta Vigo in La Liga and 1-2 versus Manchester City in the Champions League). These results have allowed Barcelona to extend their lead by 4 points, placing coach Xabi Alonso under heavy pressure. They need a strong victory to appease critics. Despite having offensive stars like Mbappé and Vinicius Jr., their defense is shattered due to injuries and suspensions (absent Militao, Carvajal, Alexander-Arnold, Mendy, Fran García).

Alaves vs Real Madrid

Alaves have shown relatively stable form at home, losing only 1 of their last 5 home matches. The hosts recently achieved a crucial 1-0 win over Real Sociedad in the previous round, climbing to 11th place. Alaves are known for their solid defensive approach, reflected in their low goals conceded (15 in 15 matches) and modest average goals scored (1.87 per game). They will aim to exploit home advantage and the opponent’s instability.

The head-to-head record strongly favors Real Madrid, who have won 7 consecutive matches against Alaves. However, Real Madrid faces significant defensive personnel problems combined with psychological pressure. Real Madrid is expected to secure 3 points, and the match is likely to feature several goals.

Team news for Alaves vs Real Madrid

Alaves: Nikola Maras is sidelined due to a knee injury, and Jon Guridi is unlikely to recover in time. Antonio Blanco returns from suspension. Lucas Boyé (3 goals) remains a key offensive threat.

Real Madrid: The defense is in serious crisis with confirmed absences of Dani Carvajal (knee), Éder Militão (hamstring), Trent Alexander-Arnold (thigh), and Ferland Mendy (muscle). Endrick, Fran García, and Álvaro Carreras are suspended. David Alaba and Dean Huijsen are doubtful for the match.