1. Portsmouth vs Arsenal
Away win
2. Hull City vs Blackburn
The home side is offensively strong but defensively weak, while the away team maintains a balanced attack and defense. Based on league performance, the home team is still respectable.
The data supports the home team, but not strongly; given both sides’ form and strength, this indicates a lack of confidence in the home team.
Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: away win
3. Swansea vs Shrewsbury
Both teams are evenly matched, but recent league performances show the home team strong at home and the visitors weak away. Overall, the away defense is much weaker than the home side’s.
The data shows no clear bias, but historically and at home, the home team holds some advantage.
Home win
4. West Ham vs Rangers
The home team is struggling badly in the league, probably fighting relegation and likely uninterested in the cup. The visitors rank well in the league, with little to lose and more motivation to compete.
The data strongly favors the home side, given their superior strength, but motivation to play is a key factor to consider.
Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: away win
5. Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg
The home team ranks 12th, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six games; at home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 6 goals. Despite recent losses, their defense remains solid. In the last six home matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 13, showing weak home form.
The visitors are 15th, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six matches; away, they have 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their two wins and one draw were at home. In the last six away games, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 12.
The data supports the home team with considerable strength. Although their home form isn’t strong, it is still better than the visitors’ away record, especially offensively.
Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw
6. Bayern vs Wolfsburg
Home win
7. Fiorentina vs AC Milan
The home team ranks 18th and has not fully escaped the relegation zone, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six games, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Although their performance is mediocre, they have won their last two home matches, indicating a temporary improvement and recovering attacking strength. In the last six home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 7.
The visitors remain second but face close competition, leaving little room for error. They have 4 wins and 2 draws in their last six matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. The two draws were against weaker opponents, which is somewhat surprising, but overall their form is good. In their last six away games, they have 3 wins and 3 draws, scoring 8 and conceding 5, showing strong away capability.
The data favors the visitors, but given the recent form of both sides, the support is modest.
Primary pick: away win; secondary pick: draw
8. Verona vs Lazio
The home team is second to last, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six games, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their defense appears weak, but they managed to beat Atalanta at home, win away at Fiorentina, and draw with Napoli, all valuable results. In six home matches, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 11, showing poor home form.
The visitors rank ninth, with 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss in their last six games, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their attacking ability is quite limited. In their last six away matches, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 2 and conceding 4. To be honest, their defense is still quite solid.
The data supports the visitors, but considering both teams’ strength, the support is too weak. The visitors lack attack but defend well; the home team attacks well but defends poorly.
Draw
9. Inter Milan vs Napoli
Both teams have performed very well recently, with only a four-point gap in the standings. The data strongly supports the home team, with a level of support that exceeds what is typical for a match between two strong teams.
Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw
10. Levante vs Espanyol
Although the home team is unbeaten in their last two matches, the visitors have performed even better recently, only losing to Villarreal and Barcelona. Their away strength is not weaker than the home side’s. The data supports the visitors, albeit modestly; the visitors are pragmatic, focusing on the league and abandoning the cup.
Away win
11. Metz vs Montpellier
The home team has not escaped relegation yet but has achieved notable results in the league by beating Nice, Lens, and drawing with Lorient. The data supports the home team, though not strongly. For them, it’s basically a “nothing to lose” situation.
Home win
12. Nantes vs Nice
Both teams have similar league performances and comparable home and away strengths. Offensively and defensively, the home team is slightly stronger than the visitors.
The data shows no clear bias, but from recent attacking and defensive trends, the home team may not be intimidated by the visitors.
Primary pick: away win; secondary pick: draw
13. Lille vs Lyon
Both teams have close league rankings and similar recent performances, with comparable offensive and defensive abilities both home and away.
The data favors the home team, but only slightly.
Draw
14. Rotterdam vs Heracles
The home team ranks 10th, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six games, scoring 4 and conceding 8, showing unsatisfactory performance. In six home matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8.
The visitors rank 11th, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six games, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Despite weak defense, their attack should not be underestimated. In six away matches, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 13.
The data supports the home team with considerable strength, but given their recent form and attacking/defensive performance at home and away, this match has potential for an upset.
Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: away win