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Issue 26016 Football 14 Matches, Manchester City unstable, Liverpool upset, Frankfurt has no chance of winning

1. Burnley VS Tottenham

The home side remains in the relegation zone, recording 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in their last six games; at home, they have 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 9 goals. Despite drawing with two top teams consecutively, their form has slightly improved; in their last six home matches, they have 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11, showing very poor performance.

The visitors rank 14th and have underperformed overall, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six matches; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 8 goals; in the last six away games, 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 12, also not performing well.

The data slightly favors the visitors, but support is limited. They won a Europa League match against Dortmund midweek, which might boost their morale, but on the other hand, their stamina could be tested.

First choice: away win, second choice: draw

2. Manchester City VS Wolves

The home team stands second, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 5 goals; in the last six home games, 4 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 4, home form remains reliable.

The visitors are still bottom of the table, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the last six games; away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 6 goals; unbeaten in their last four matches with improving form; however, in the last six away games, 0 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 10, away form remains poor.

The data strongly supports the home team. However, the home side suffered an unexpected Europa League defeat to Bodø midweek, which may weigh on their mentality. Their fitness will also be affected. This shift in dynamics calls for caution.

First choice: home win, second choice: draw

3. Bournemouth VS Liverpool

The home team is 15th, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 13 goals, showing offensive capability but defensive weaknesses; in the last six home matches, 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 9 goals.

The visitors rank fourth, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses in their last six games; away record is 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 5 goals; although undefeated, their attack is limited; in the last six away matches, 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 9 goals; away performance is average, but opponents are also moderate.

The data gives limited support to the visitors. Considering the visitors played a Europa League match midweek, their fitness might be significantly affected. Combined with their already shaky defense, surprises could happen.

First choice: away win, second choice: home win

4. Bayern VS Augsburg

Home win

5. Frankfurt VS Hoffenheim

The home team is seventh, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 16 goals, showing attacking power but weak defense; in the last six home games, 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 7, unbeaten in the last five matches, performance is stable.

The visitors rank third, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 4 goals, performing well overall but average away; in the last six away games, 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 6, only losing to Dortmund.

Data shows no clear tendency, but the home team lost a Europa League match midweek, which might affect their morale and fitness negatively.

First choice: away win, second choice: draw

6. Heidenheim VS Leipzig

The home team is 16th, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 12 goals, defense unstable; in the last six home games, 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 13.

The visitors are fifth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 11 goals, showing attacking ability but average defense; in the last six away games, 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 7.

The data favors the visitors significantly, but based on recent form and home-away performance, this match remains balanced but not overwhelmingly so. The home team needs to avoid relegation, so their fighting strength differs.

First choice: away win, second choice: draw

7. Leverkusen VS Bremen

The home team is fifth, with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses in their last six matches; at home, 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 10, performing poorly; however, in the last six home games, 4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 6, home form is excellent; they conceded four goals against Stuttgart, but other teams might find them hard to challenge.

The visitors are 13th, with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last six games; away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 14; in the last six away matches, 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11.

Data supports the home team strongly. One concern is that the home side played a Europa League match midweek, which might affect their fitness. Also, the first leg between these two ended 3-3, but the home team was not at their best then.

This match still favors the home team.

8. Mainz VS Wolfsburg

The home team is 17th, not yet safe from relegation; if they want to escape, they cannot afford mistakes; in their last six matches, 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 8, performance unstable; in their last six home games, 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8.

The visitors rank 12th, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six matches; away record is 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 16, showing attacking ability but poor defense; in the last six away games, 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 15, with even weaker defense on the road.

The data shows no clear bias but gives some advantage to the home team. Recent form does not favor the home team, but considering home and away capabilities, their defense might be key. The desire to avoid relegation could inspire a different level of effort.

Home win

9. Union Berlin VS Dortmund

The home team is ninth, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 8; although victories are few, they are consistent; in the last six home games, 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 8; their home form is decent, having held Bayern and Red Bull to draws.

The visitors are second, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses in their last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 6; away form is not invincible and shows some issues; in the last six away games, 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 8, away form is unstable.

Data supports the visitors, but compared to the first leg, confidence is lacking; the visitors lost a Europa League match recently, which might cause fatigue both mentally and physically.

First choice: away win, second choice: home win

10. Frosinone VS Cagliari

The home team is 17th, having played cautiously for half a season but now fighting to avoid relegation; in their last six matches, 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; at home, 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 6; recent form is good, with AC Milan, Bologna, and Lazio unable to take advantage; in the last six home games, 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 6; unbeaten in the last three home matches, showing significant improvement in attack and defense.

The visitors rank 15th, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 9; in the last six away games, 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 10; although they recently defeated Juventus, their overall strength remains inferior to the home team.

The data strongly favors the home team, reflecting confidence in their recent performances.

Home win

11. Lecce VS Lazio

The home team is 17th, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last six matches; at home, 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, scoring 2 and conceding 10; in the last six home games, 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 8.

The visitors rank ninth, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 8; in the last six away games, 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 4.

It is unclear when the visitors’ attack weakened so much. Although the data supports the visitors, the strength of support is limited and not very favorable to them.

First choice: away win, second choice: draw

12. Valencia VS Espanyol

The home team is 17th, only one point above the relegation zone; in their last six matches, 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; at home, 0 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 9, performance is poor; opponents with one win and three draws are not strong; in the last six home games, 1 win, 4 draws, 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 6, home form is relatively stable but limited in winning capability.

The visitors are fifth, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six matches; away record is 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 6; they have not won in the last three games, showing declining form; in the last six away matches, 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 4.

The data gives some support to the home team, but from any angle, the home team has little chance of winning.

Draw

13. Sevilla VS Bilbao

The home team is 14th, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six matches; at home, 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 9; in the last six home games, 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 9.

The visitors rank 10th, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11; in the last six away games, 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 13.

The data shows no bias. Considering the first leg, the home team is not intimidated by the visitors, and the visitors’ midweek Europa League match will definitely affect their fitness.

Home win

14. Villarreal VS Real Madrid

The home team is third, with 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches; at home, 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 8; in the last six home games, 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 6; overall performance is good.

The visitors rank second, with 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss in their last six matches; away record is 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 4; in the last six away games, 3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 4.

The data favors the visitors but not strongly, possibly because their away form is unstable, which relates to their coach’s style; after the coaching change, the visitors’ mentality has shifted.

Away win

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