Issue 26017 of the football fourteen-match betting, Chelsea is unstable, Newcastle defends their home ground, Arsenal is uncertain

1. Brentford vs Nottingham

The home side is seventh, with a recent record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in six games; at home, 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 13 and conceding 5, only defeated away by Chelsea conceding three goals. Their form is quite strong, recently undefeated in four matches, and in the last six home games, they have 4 wins and 2 draws, scoring 14 and conceding 4, demonstrating solid home capability.

The away team is seventeenth, five points above the relegation zone, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six matches; away, 1 win, no draws, 2 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in the last two games, especially the recent home draw against Arsenal, indicating a recovery in form. In the last six away games, they have 3 wins, no draws, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8.

The data favors the home team with considerable support, while the away team played a midweek European match, leading to fatigue; comparatively, the home side has a clear advantage.

First choice: home win; second choice: draw

2. Crystal Palace vs Chelsea

The home team is disappointing, ranked 13th, with no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in the last six matches; at home, no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 3 and conceding 10, showing poor form. In the last six home games, they have no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 2 and conceding 7.

The away team is sixth, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; away, no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their attack is decent but defense is weak. In the last six away games, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8.

The data supports the away team, but considering recent performance and home/away attack and defense, the strength of this support is limited. No team stays at the top forever; the home side is expected to show some improvement.

First choice: away win; second choice: draw

3. Newcastle vs Aston Villa

The home team is seventh, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; at home, 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 11 and conceding 7, unbeaten in four games, showing steady improvement. In the last six home games, they have 4 wins, 2 draws, and no losses, scoring 14 and conceding 9, demonstrating stable home form.

The away team is third, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches; away, 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 8. They have not won in the last two rounds, showing a dip in form. In the last six away games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 11, with no wins in the last two away matches.

The data favors the home team; one side is on the rise, the other is declining. Both teams have strong attacking capabilities. The strength given seems somewhat exaggerated.

First choice: draw; second choice: home win

4. Arsenal vs Manchester United

The home team is first, with 4 wins and 2 draws in the last six matches, no losses; at home, 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They drew their last two games, showing some decline in attack. In the last six home matches, they have 5 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 14 and conceding 4, showing stable home performance.

The away team is fifth, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; away, no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 6. The new coach’s first game was impressive, beating Manchester City 2-0. In the last six away games, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 9. The return of their striker has improved their attack.

The data strongly supports the home team, seemingly disregarding the away side. This is risky, especially since the home team also played a midweek European match.

First choice: home win; second choice: away win

5. Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart

The home team is eleventh, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 10. In the last six home matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 7.

The away team ranks fourth, just one point ahead of Leipzig, with little margin for error. They have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; away, 2 wins, no draws, no losses, scoring 12 and conceding 9, unbeaten in five. In the last six away games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 16 and conceding 9.

The data shows no clear bias. The away team played a midweek European match and is likely fatigued, but their attack is clearly stronger than the home team’s.

First choice: away win; second choice: draw

6. Freiburg vs Cologne

The home team is eighth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 10 and conceding 11. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 3 draws, no losses, scoring 12 and conceding 6, showing strong home ability.

The away team is tenth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches; away, no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their win and draws were against the bottom three teams, so the quality is questionable. In the last six away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9.

The data supports the home team with significant strength. Considering their home performance, they hold a clear advantage.

Home win

7. Atalanta vs Parma

The home team is seventh, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six matches; at home, 2 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Their attack is average but defense is solid. In the last six home games, they have 4 wins, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 5.

The away team is thirteenth, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; away, 1 win, 2 draws, no losses, scoring 4 and conceding 4. They have little offensive power but strong defense. In the last six away games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 5, unbeaten in the last five away matches, showing decent away strength.

The data heavily favors the home team, but this does not account for the home side’s midweek European match. The away team’s strong defense suggests this match could hold surprises.

First choice: home win; second choice: draw

8. Genoa vs Bologna

The home team is sixteenth, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Overall, their defense is decent. In the last six home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They lack strength in tough matches and are more stable against mid-table teams.

The away team dropped to eighth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches; away, 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their performance is poor, but three of their opponents were strong. In the last six away games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 8, showing some away ability.

The data shows no clear bias; both sides are evenly matched recently. The away team played a midweek European match, so fitness could be a factor.

First choice: draw; second choice: away win

9. Juventus vs Napoli

Both teams have played European matches, making it fair in that regard.

The home team ranks fifth, three points behind the top four, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six matches; at home, 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 13 and conceding 3. Overall performance is good, but a recent away loss to Cagliari was disappointing. In the last six home games, they have 4 wins and 2 draws, scoring 13 and conceding 4, showing solid home ability.

The away team is third, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and no losses in the last six matches; away, 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 9 and conceding 4. In the last six away games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 5.

The data gives strong support to the home team. Based on recent matches and home/away strengths, their attack is indeed stronger, though the away team’s defense is not weak. In the first leg, the home team lost 1-2 away and was dominated throughout.

First choice: home win; second choice: draw

10. Roma vs AC Milan

The home team is fourth but their position is insecure, with 4 wins and 2 losses in the last six matches; at home, 2 wins, no draws, no losses, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Losses to Atalanta and Juventus away are understandable. In the last six home games, they have 5 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 3, only losing to Napoli, showing good overall form.

The away team is second, with 4 wins and 2 draws in the last six matches; away, 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 10 and conceding 3. In the last six away games, they have 4 wins and 2 draws, scoring 11 and conceding 6, showing good offense and defense.

The data shows no clear bias, but the home team played a European match, possibly causing some fatigue. The match outcome is likely to be decided by a single goal.

First choice: home win; second choice: away win

11. Barcelona vs Oviedo

Home win

12. Sociedad vs Celta

The home team is ninth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They have been unbeaten in the last four matches. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 10.

The away team is seventh, with 5 wins and 1 draw in the last six matches; away, 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 12 and conceding 1. In the last six away games, they have 5 wins and 1 draw, scoring 9 and conceding 3.

The data supports the away team. Considering recent performance and home/away strength, the home team’s chances are limited. This data somewhat underestimates the away team.

First choice: home win; second choice: away win

13. Alaves vs Betis

First choice: away win; second choice: draw

14. Lille vs Strasbourg

Home win