Issue 26021 football fourteen matches, Cologne defends home ground, Lazio collapses, Espanyol rebounds

1. Bristol VS Derby County

Home team seventh, last six games 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; home record 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 8 goals, conceded 6; last six home games 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; scored 11, conceded 5; has certain home advantage.

Away team eleventh, last six games 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; away 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 7, conceded 6; unbeaten in last three; last six away games 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; scored 9, conceded 6; shows some strength on the road.

Data slightly favors the home team, but not strongly, which aligns with their similar strengths and recent good form. Additionally, the home team holds a significant psychological edge playing against the visitors at home, so the home side can come out unscathed.

First draw, second home win

2. Cologne VS Wolfsburg

Home team tenth, last six games 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses; home 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 6, conceded 11; performance has declined significantly compared to season start. Last six home matches 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; scored 11, conceded 11; struggling among weaker teams.

Away team twelfth, last six games 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; away 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 11, conceded 18; stronger attack than home team but weak defense; last six away matches 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; scored 8, conceded 15; average away ability.

Data gives slight support to the home team, but not strongly; both sides have poor defensive records.

First home win, second draw

3. Magdeburg VS Hannover

Home team fourteenth, last six games 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; home 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 15, conceded 7; recently lost after a five-game unbeaten run; last six home matches 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; scored 9, conceded 10; three losses were against two top-three teams.

Away team fifth, last six games 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; away 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; scored 9, conceded 8; last six away games 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; scored 11, conceded 9.

Data shows no clear bias, but the home team might have lost momentum after ending their point streak, while the away team is generally stronger.

First away win, second draw

4. Nuremberg VS Münster

Home team ninth, last six games 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; home 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses; scored 7, conceded 11; last six home games 4 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses; scored 12, conceded 7; very strong at home, having defeated Eintracht and Hannover.

Away team fifteenth, last six games 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses; away 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 6, conceded 9; last six away matches 1 win, 0 draws, 5 losses; scored 4, conceded 9.

Data favors the home team, whose home form remains reliable.

Home win

5. Lazio VS Genoa

Home team ninth, last six games 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; home 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; scored 4, conceded 8; imbalance in attack and defense; last six home matches 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; scored 5, conceded 8; poor home performance.

Away team thirteenth, last six games 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss; away 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 9, conceded 7; unbeaten recently; last six away games 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss; scored 9, conceded 9.

Data gives significant support to the home team, but considering recent form and home-away strength, this support is clearly insufficient.

First home win, second away win

6. Espanyol VS Alavés

Home team fifth, last six games 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; home 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 6, conceded 9; form has suddenly dropped, losing four matches in a row, including three defeats against not particularly strong opponents; last six home matches 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses; scored 4, conceded 7; home attack is almost non-existent.

Away team fifteenth, last six games 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses; away 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses; scored 5, conceded 11; poor performance; last six away matches 0 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses; scored 2, conceded 12; very weak away.

Data supports the home team; although their recent form is poor, they face an even weaker opponent and hope to produce something to reverse the decline.

Home win

7. Lens VS Avranches

Home team second, last six games 5 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; home 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 11, conceded 5; unfortunately lost last round to Marseille; last six home matches 6 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 11, conceded 2; aiming to keep pace with PSG, no margin for error.

Away team tenth, last six games 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; away 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 3, conceded 4; few goals but decent defense; last six away matches 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses; scored 4, conceded 11; limited away capabilities.

Data supports the home team strongly, but given recent form and home-away strength, this support is still insufficient.

First home win, second draw

8. Clermont VS Lens

Home team twelfth, last six games 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses; home 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses; scored 8, conceded 8; last six home matches 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss; scored 9, conceded 6; has some home strength.

Away team third, last six games 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; away 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 10, conceded 3; two away draws against second and first place are reasonable; last six away matches 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 13, conceded 7; strong away ability.

Data favors the away team; based on recent form and home-away records, the visitors have a slight edge, though the margin is small. Historically, the home team has never been intimidated by the visitors at home, holding a psychological advantage.

First away win, second home win

9. Grenoble VS Amiens

Home team thirteenth, last six games 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses; home 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 5, conceded 10; average performance; last six home matches 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss; scored 5, conceded 6; some home strength; although wins are difficult, defense is decent.

Away team sixteenth, last six games 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses; away 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 4, conceded 8; last six away matches 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses; scored 5, conceded 9; weak defense.

Data supports the home team significantly; however, based on recent form and home-away records, this support is hard to maintain. Historically, the home team is not intimidated by the visitors.

First draw, second home win

10. Laval VS Pau FC

Home team seventeenth, last six games 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses; home 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 4, conceded 12; last six home matches 0 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses; scored 2, conceded 8; quite poor.

Away team tenth, last six games 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses; away 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 9, conceded 12; stronger attack; last six away matches 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; scored 7, conceded 13; poor defense.

Data favors the away team, but considering recent performances, this support is clearly too weak; caution advised.

First away win, second home win

11. Montpellier VS Guingamp

Home team ninth, last six games 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses; home 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 4, conceded 8; performance is still poor; last six home matches 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses; scored 8, conceded 7; some home strength.

Away team seventh, last six games 4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; away 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 10, conceded 6; good form; last six away matches 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 11, conceded 7.

Data supports the home team, but based on recent form and home-away ability, this support is not sustainable.

Draw

12. Rodez VS Red Star

Home team eleventh, last six games 2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses; home 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses; scored 11, conceded 8; very good performance, facing mostly top-ranked teams, showing strong quality; last six home matches 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss; scored 9, conceded 8; unbeaten in last five; opponents are strong, this is impressive.

Away team second, last six games 1 win, 4 draws, 1 loss; away 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 7, conceded 5; good defense; last six away matches 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; scored 6, conceded 5; struggles in tough matches.

Data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the away team; however, considering recent form and home-away strength, the visitors face difficulties.

First draw, second home win

13. Breda VS Twente

Home team seventeenth, last six games 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses; home 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; scored 6, conceded 9; last six home matches 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses; scored 7, conceded 9; unstable defense.

Away team eighth, last six games 2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses; away 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses; scored 7, conceded 3; weak attack but solid defense; last six away matches 1 win, 5 draws, 0 losses; scored 9, conceded 7; unbeaten at home but few wins; limited winning capability.

Data supports the away team, but not strongly; based on recent form and home-away strength, the visitors hold the advantage.

First draw, second away win

14. Guimaraes VS Moreirense

Home team ninth, last six games 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; home 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 6, conceded 10; attack and defense are average; three losses were against strong opponents, showing limited toughness; last six home matches 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; scored 7, conceded 9; the three losses were exactly to the top three teams, but the team is relatively stable against mid-to-lower teams.

Away team sixth, last six games 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; away 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 5, conceded 6; weak attack but decent defense; last six away matches 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; scored 9, conceded 7; surprisingly good attack away.

Data supports the home team; historically, the home side holds a psychological edge in their encounters.

Home win