Supercomputer makes surprising prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea match

Opta's supercomputer has released its assessment and forecast for the showdown between Arsenal and Chelsea as part of the Premier League's 28th round.

Following a resounding victory over arch-rivals Tottenham, Arsenal will return to the Emirates Stadium to host Chelsea in a Premier League round 28 fixture. With home advantage and strong determination in the title race, Mikel Arteta's side is clearly rated slightly higher than the visiting team.

According to predictions from the supercomputer by Opta, Arsenal holds as much as 62.8% probability of securing a win. Conversely, Chelsea has only a 17.4% chance of emerging victorious, while the likelihood of a draw is predicted at 19.8%.

Not stopping there, the "Gunners" also have the support of historical precedent.

According to statistics from Opta, in his second match managing Arsenal in December 2019, manager Mikel Arteta suffered a 1-2 defeat at the Emirates Stadium against Chelsea.

In his second game in charge of Arsenal in December 2019, manager Mikel Arteta endured a 1-2 loss right at home against Chelsea.

However, since that point, Arsenal under Arteta have lost only once in 15 meetings with Chelsea across all competitions, recording 10 wins and 4 draws. Notably, those 10 victories over Chelsea also represent the most wins Arteta has achieved against any single opponent since taking charge at Arsenal, equaling his record against Wolves.

Not only dominating in results, Arteta's Arsenal have also scored a remarkable 31 goals against Chelsea, more than against any other opponent they have faced during this period.

For Chelsea, the Blues have gone 8 consecutive Premier League matches without tasting victory against Arsenal (3 draws, 5 losses). This is their longest such run against Arsenal since the period from 1995 to 2005, when they once failed to win in 19 consecutive meetings.

Specifically at home, Arsenal have won their last three Premier League matches against Chelsea. The last time they performed better was from 1990 to 1994, with a run of 5 consecutive wins.

For Arsenal, the convincing victory over Tottenham in the most recent round helped the team regain some confidence after a series of disappointing results against Brentford and Wolves. With Manchester City chasing closely, just two points behind, Mikel Arteta's side must aim for a positive result against an inconsistent Chelsea.

On the other hand, two consecutive Premier League draws have caused Chelsea to stall in the race for a top-four spot. Manager Liam Rosenior's team currently trails fourth-placed Manchester United by three points, while Liverpool has moved up to fifth place after a victory over West Ham. If they wish to keep their hopes alive for UEFA Champions League qualification, Chelsea must play with maximum determination at the Emirates and find a way to trouble Arsenal during this crucial stage of the season.

The match between Arsenal and Chelsea will take place at 11:30 PM tonight (March 1st).