Analysis and odds for Newcastle vs Manchester United at 03:15 on 05/03, Premier League

Analysis and odds for Newcastle vs Manchester United at 03:15 on 05/03/2026. Predictions for the result, expected lineups, and expert analysis for the match between Newcastle and Manchester United in Premier League round 29.

Match Analysis: Newcastle vs Manchester United

90-Minute Odds: 0 : 0

Total Goals: 3

Newcastle welcomes Manchester United to St James' Park amidst inconsistent Premier League form, having lost 5 of their last 6 matches. The 2-3 defeat to Everton last weekend further exposed defensive issues, as they have conceded 8 goals in their last three consecutive home games against Aston Villa, Brentford, and Everton. However, looking at the season overall, Newcastle has shown considerable strength at home with 24 goals, accounting for 63% of their total goals scored.

On average per home game, the Magpies score 1.85 goals but also concede 1.54 goals, ranking 4th in home goals scored but as low as 17th in goals conceded. The key player for the hosts is Bruno Guimaraes, who has 9 goals and is among the top 10 scorers in the league. Additionally, they have won the most corners in the league with 185 after 27 matches, averaging 6.9 per game, highlighting their significant threat from wide areas.

On the other side, Manchester United is thriving under Michael Carrick, having taken 19 out of a possible 21 points since mid-January. A 2-1 victory over Crystal Palace extended their unbeaten away run to 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), solidifying their third-place position. United has scored 23 away goals this season, averaging 1.64 per match, ranking 3rd in the league for away scoring efficiency. Bryan Mbeumo also has 9 goals and is in the top 10 scorers, while Bruno Fernandes has been instrumental with 7 goals and 13 assists.

Notably, United has attempted the most shots in the league with 429 after 27 rounds. Recent head-to-head history is quite balanced, with both teams sharing 5 wins in their last 5 meetings, but Newcastle has won the last three consecutive home matches against United. However, with more stable form and resilience in securing narrow victories, the Red Devils are favored to take all three points, albeit potentially by a minimal margin.

Newcastle vs Manchester United Squad News

Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes, Livramento, Lewis Miley injured; Jacob Ramsey doubtful; Sven Botman could return.

Manchester United: Luke Shaw, Harry Maguire not fully fit; Lisandro Martinez needs assessment; Mason Mount could be on the bench.

Predicted Lineups for Newcastle vs Manchester United

Newcastle: Pope; Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Willock, Tonali, Joelinton; Barnes, Woltemade, Gordon.

Manchester United: Lammens; Dalot, Yoro, Maguire, Mazraoui; Casemiro, Mainoo; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Cunha; Sesko.

Newcastle's Recent Form:

28/02/2026: Newcastle 2-3 Everton (Premier League)

25/02/2026: Newcastle 3-2 Qarabag (Champions League)

22/02/2026: Manchester City 2-1 Newcastle (Premier League)

19/02/2026: Qarabag 1-6 Newcastle (Champions League)

15/02/2026: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle (FA Cup)

Manchester United's Recent Form:

01/03/2026: Manchester United 2-1 Crystal Palace (Premier League)

24/02/2026: Everton 0-1 Manchester United (Premier League)

11/02/2026: West Ham 1-1 Manchester United (Premier League)

07/02/2026: Manchester United 2-0 Tottenham (Premier League)

01/02/2026: Manchester United 3-2 Fulham (Premier League)

Recent Head-to-Head History between Newcastle and Manchester United:

27/12/2025: Manchester United 1-0 Newcastle (Premier League)

13/04/2025: Newcastle 4-1 Manchester United (Premier League)

31/12/2024: Manchester United 0-2 Newcastle (Premier League)

16/05/2024: Manchester United 3-2 Newcastle (Premier League)

03/12/2023: Newcastle 1-0 Manchester United (Premier League)

Prediction for Newcastle vs Manchester United Result

With superior form and greater stability, Manchester United has a good chance of securing a victory, despite Newcastle always being a tough opponent at home.

Predicted Score: Newcastle 1-2 Manchester United