Issue 25116 of Football Win-Draw-Loss: Real Madrid starts strong, beware of Club Brugge, Fenerbahçe lacks strength.

1 HiroshimaVSKobe

The home side is stronger than the visitors, currently in fifth place, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six matches. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in four games and have quickly regained form, but their attacking power hasn't improved much—their defense is their main advantage. Over six recent home matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their home performance is solid, though attacking is still a weak point.

The away team is ranked sixth, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches. Away: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, 7 goals scored, 4 conceded. They are coming off two consecutive defeats, indicating a dip in form. In their last six away games: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 9 goals scored, 8 conceded. Their away performance is respectable.

The stats offer slight support for the home team, but not much. Judging by both sides' recent opponents, the home team seems to be at a slight disadvantage.

Home win is first choice, away win as backup.

2Red StarVSPafos

There's a significant gap in strength between the two teams. If the home side fails to establish an advantage here, it will be tough away. The visitors have earned promotion by beating Maccabi and Dynamo Kyiv, so they shouldn’t be underestimated. The stats support the home team, but this seems rather weak, likely due to the visitors’ good recent form.

Home win

3FerencvárosVSQarabağ

The home team is generally stronger, but in previous encounters, they haven't gained much advantage, showing the visitors are tough opponents. The stats favor the home side, but not strongly. If the home team can't secure a lead here, it will be much harder away.

Home win as primary, draw as secondary.

4RangersVSClub Brugge

Overall, the home team is weaker, but their home performance shouldn't be underestimated. The stats don't show a clear bias, though there is some minor support for the visitors, but it's minimal.

Away win first, home win second.

5BaselVSCopenhagen

Overall, the home team is inferior to the visitors, especially in European experience. The stats don't show a clear preference, but slightly favor the home side. The visitors haven't shown much quality in away matches.

Draw

6Bodø/GlimtVSGraz

The home team is significantly weaker than the visitors. Bodø/Glimt is first in the Norwegian league, while Graz is fifth in the Austrian league. The stats give massive support to the home side, which is surprising, as the visitors even beat Leipzig earlier this year.

Home win first, draw second.

7CelticVSAlmaty

The home team is very strong in the Scottish Premiership, while the visitors are very weak away. The stats heavily favor the home side.

Home win

8FenerbahçeVSBenfica

If the home team fails to gain an advantage away, their style means they'll be even more passive on the road. The stats show no clear bias, but overall, there's a big gap in strength, and the home team's defense is quite shaky. Even Mourinho's tactics can't overcome a huge strength difference unless the home side completely abandons attacking and plays ultra-defensive.

Away win

9Real MadridVSOsasuna

It's the first match and at home—there's no reason not to start with a win. The stats hugely favor the home team.

Home win

10SassuoloVSFortaleza

Both teams are evenly matched. The first leg ended 0-0, with the visitors having 64% possession. The visitors dominated but couldn't score, while the home side's efficient defense earned them a draw away. In terms of shots, the home team had 11 to 13, slightly behind, but with 3 on target to 1, showing their efficiency.

The stats now strongly favor the home team, which is a reversal from the first leg. This shows strong confidence in the home side, but the gap isn't really that big—the stats may be overestimating them.

Home win first, away win second.

11AtléticoVSPeñarol

In the first leg, the home team lost 0-1 away. Post-match stats show the visitors were more efficient on the counterattack. The stats now favor the home side, with strong support, suggesting their advantage at home could be even greater.

Home win

12São PauloVSNacional

The first leg ended 0-0. Post-match stats show the home team was clearly outplayed, with only 5 shots to the visitors’ 18. The home team was lucky to get a draw. The stats now heavily favor the home side, which is a sharp contrast to the first leg. Overall, the home team is much stronger, but their poor first leg raises some doubts.

Home win first, away win second.

13UniversidadVSPorteno

In the first leg, the home team won 1-0 away. Stats show they were on top, with 13 shots to 9 and 60% possession to 40%. Clearly, the home side is superior in both attack and defense.

The stats now favor the home team even more than before. However, a 1-0 lead is not safe and could be overturned at any time, so the home team has no reason to relax.

Home win

14InternacionalVSFlamengo

In the first leg, the home team won 3-1 away. Basically, as long as they don't make mistakes, they're almost through to the next round. Stats show both sides have their strengths, making it hard to say who dominated, though overall the home team has a slight edge, but it's very small.

The stats now favor the home side much more than in the first leg.

Home win first, draw second.