In the 2025 Australian Open draw, Djokovic got the most difficult draw in the history of the Australian Open.You have to beat the top three players in the world in a row to win the 2025 Australian Open.
At present, Djokovic has passed the first hurdle of the quarter-finals against world No. 3 Alcaraz. Tomorrow is the semi-finals against world No. 2 Zverev. The ultimate challenge is the final against world No. 1 Sinner.
In the semifinals of the Australian Open last year, Djokovic lost 1:3 against Sinner. Since then, Sinner has been singing all the way to a brilliant 2024 season. Djokovic suffered a series of setbacks at the Grand Slams, winning only a gold medal at the Paris Olympics, which he considers a treasure.
Let's take a look back at last yearAustralian Open semi-finals Djokovic vs. Sinner match stats.
The first set
In the first set, Djokovic's service statistics were far behind. Only the winning score is 5:4, one more than Sinner, but the unforced error is 15:4, and the gap is huge.
Second set
In the second set, Deyo's first-serve goal rate increased from 43% in the first set to 75%, but the first-serve win rate did not increase much, compared with Sinner, 56%:92%, a huge difference. Still trailing on serve. Unforced errors are 14:4, which is too much difference. Sinner also ran more sprints, 100 metres more than Djokovic.
The third set
Djokovic's service statistics improved, scoring 75% of his first serve and maintaining the level of the second set. The first-serve win rate reached 79 per cent, which is more than a notch higher than the 43 per cent and 56 per cent of the first two sets. The winning point was 12:10, and the attack was strengthened. Sinner's first-serve goal rate of 53 per cent was lower than in the first two sets, with 15 unforced errors, compared to just four in the first two sets. It's a long-term shift.
Full-time data
Djokovic's first-serve goal rate, with an average of 68%, is quite passable. Sinner is largely stable. Physical fitness may be an issue. Sinner held the lead in terms of first-serve and second-serve win percentage. The winning score was 32:31 and the unforced errors were as high as 54:28. Fight for both sides! The distance traveled 2478 meters: 2944 meters.
Despite all his efforts, Djokovic was unable to fight the set and ended up in the semifinals 1-3.
Tomorrow in the men's singles semifinals of the Australian Open, Djokovic will face Zverev. If we can get past this, there is a high probability that we will face Sinner in the final (will we expect Sheldon to win Sinner in the other semi-final?). [laughs]). You can't change your opponent, and you can't reduce your opponent's strength. The only one who can change is yourself.
Therefore, on the Djokovic side, first, the quality of the serve must be improved, and the second is that the tactics must be changeable and reduce the baseline confrontation. It doesn't matter whether Sinner's baseline defense surpasses the Deyo in his heyday, but it definitely surpasses the current Deyo.
Compare the data of Djokovic vs. Alcaraz in this year's quarterfinals:
The screenshot of the 2024 Australian Open data in this article comes from the video clip of "Lazy Little Lai". Thank you. Lai's videos include video clips of almost all important competitions, and the quality is very high. He was a very hardworking man.@懒小赖网球
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